National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus currently point to a peak high near 97°F in Houston on August 17 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the market's strong 90% implied probability on the 96-97°F outcome. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daily maxima average 93-95°F, though a broader heat wave has pushed recent highs into the upper 90s with heat indices exceeding 100°F. Limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation chances support modest intensification potential before any evening cooling, while model runs show low dispersion around this range. Updated NHC or local office briefings could shift odds if afternoon observations deviate.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Houston il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Houston il 17 agosto?
96-97°F 97%
98-99°F 5%
100-101°F 1.0%
89°F o meno <1%
$35,316 Vol.
$35,316 Vol.
17 ago 2026
89°F o meno
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
97%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F o più
<1%
96-97°F 97%
98-99°F 5%
100-101°F 1.0%
89°F o meno <1%
$35,316 Vol.
$35,316 Vol.
17 ago 2026
89°F o meno
$341 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$530 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$4,202 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$6,323 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$9,444 Vol.
97%
98-99°F
$11,679 Vol.
5%
100-101°F
$1,721 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$285 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$251 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$290 Vol.
<1%
108°F o più
$250 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus currently point to a peak high near 97°F in Houston on August 17 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the market's strong 90% implied probability on the 96-97°F outcome. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daily maxima average 93-95°F, though a broader heat wave has pushed recent highs into the upper 90s with heat indices exceeding 100°F. Limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation chances support modest intensification potential before any evening cooling, while model runs show low dispersion around this range. Updated NHC or local office briefings could shift odds if afternoon observations deviate.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$35,316Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus currently point to a peak high near 97°F in Houston on August 17 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the market's strong 90% implied probability on the 96-97°F outcome. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daily maxima average 93-95°F, though a broader heat wave has pushed recent highs into the upper 90s with heat indices exceeding 100°F. Limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation chances support modest intensification potential before any evening cooling, while model runs show low dispersion around this range. Updated NHC or local office briefings could shift odds if afternoon observations deviate.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,316Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus currently point to a peak high near 97°F in Houston on August 17 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the market's strong 90% implied probability on the 96-97°F outcome. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daily maxima average 93-95°F, though a broader heat wave has pushed recent highs into the upper 90s with heat indices exceeding 100°F. Limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation chances support modest intensification potential before any evening cooling, while model runs show low dispersion around this range. Updated NHC or local office briefings could shift odds if afternoon observations deviate.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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