Trump's 2026 posting pace on Truth Social, averaging roughly 19 per day overall with spikes to 27 daily in peak months like May and elevated bursts exceeding 30-37 posts in single sessions during early September, drives trader expectations toward the 200-plus bracket for the eight-day window. Recent Labor Day activity and patterns around political news cycles, including AI-generated content and rapid responses to events, have produced totals in the 180-199 range or higher in comparable periods, supporting the current leading outcome at over 50 percent implied probability. Lower brackets align with baseline annual averages around 152 posts, while uncertainty over any slowdown from travel or reduced news flow keeps secondary ranges like 160-199 competitive but less favored in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato200+ 51%
160-179 18%
180-199 16%
140-159 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
4%
100-119
5%
120-139
8%
140-159
12%
160-179
18%
180-199
16%
200+
51%
200+ 51%
160-179 18%
180-199 16%
140-159 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
<20
$40 Vol.
1%
20-39
$12 Vol.
1%
40-59
$12 Vol.
1%
60-79
$0 Vol.
1%
80-99
$20 Vol.
4%
100-119
$20 Vol.
5%
120-139
$40 Vol.
8%
140-159
$77 Vol.
12%
160-179
$58 Vol.
18%
180-199
$54 Vol.
16%
200+
$23 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's 2026 posting pace on Truth Social, averaging roughly 19 per day overall with spikes to 27 daily in peak months like May and elevated bursts exceeding 30-37 posts in single sessions during early September, drives trader expectations toward the 200-plus bracket for the eight-day window. Recent Labor Day activity and patterns around political news cycles, including AI-generated content and rapid responses to events, have produced totals in the 180-199 range or higher in comparable periods, supporting the current leading outcome at over 50 percent implied probability. Lower brackets align with baseline annual averages around 152 posts, while uncertainty over any slowdown from travel or reduced news flow keeps secondary ranges like 160-199 competitive but less favored in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$356Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's 2026 posting pace on Truth Social, averaging roughly 19 per day overall with spikes to 27 daily in peak months like May and elevated bursts exceeding 30-37 posts in single sessions during early September, drives trader expectations toward the 200-plus bracket for the eight-day window. Recent Labor Day activity and patterns around political news cycles, including AI-generated content and rapid responses to events, have produced totals in the 180-199 range or higher in comparable periods, supporting the current leading outcome at over 50 percent implied probability. Lower brackets align with baseline annual averages around 152 posts, while uncertainty over any slowdown from travel or reduced news flow keeps secondary ranges like 160-199 competitive but less favored in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$356Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trump's 2026 posting pace on Truth Social, averaging roughly 19 per day overall with spikes to 27 daily in peak months like May and elevated bursts exceeding 30-37 posts in single sessions during early September, drives trader expectations toward the 200-plus bracket for the eight-day window. Recent Labor Day activity and patterns around political news cycles, including AI-generated content and rapid responses to events, have produced totals in the 180-199 range or higher in comparable periods, supporting the current leading outcome at over 50 percent implied probability. Lower brackets align with baseline annual averages around 152 posts, while uncertainty over any slowdown from travel or reduced news flow keeps secondary ranges like 160-199 competitive but less favored in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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