**Québec Solidaire maintains concentrated support in key Montreal ridings and surrounding urban areas, supporting consistent seat projections of 5–9 despite province-wide polling near 8–10%.** Models from 338Canada and similar aggregators as of late August 2026 place QS ahead or competitive in several longstanding strongholds such as Gouin, Mercier, Taschereau, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques, even as overall support has declined from prior cycles. The October 5 election timeline leaves limited opportunity for a sudden province-wide shift capable of eliminating all QS incumbents or contenders. Recent Synopsis and Léger surveys show QS holding steady amid a tightening PQ–CAQ contest, with no evidence of collapse in its core districts. Trader consensus at 94% reflects this structural resilience and the low likelihood of zero seats under current polling distributions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui94% peluang
BARU
BARU
Oct 5, 2026
94% peluang
BARU
BARU
Oct 5, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Québec Solidaire maintains concentrated support in key Montreal ridings and surrounding urban areas, supporting consistent seat projections of 5–9 despite province-wide polling near 8–10%.**
Models from 338Canada and similar aggregators as of late August 2026 place QS ahead or competitive in several longstanding strongholds such as Gouin, Mercier, Taschereau, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques, even as overall support has declined from prior cycles. The October 5 election timeline leaves limited opportunity for a sudden province-wide shift capable of eliminating all QS incumbents or contenders. Recent Synopsis and Léger surveys show QS holding steady amid a tightening PQ–CAQ contest, with no evidence of collapse in its core districts. Trader consensus at 94% reflects this structural resilience and the low likelihood of zero seats under current polling distributions.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Volume
$310Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Québec Solidaire maintains concentrated support in key Montreal ridings and surrounding urban areas, supporting consistent seat projections of 5–9 despite province-wide polling near 8–10%.**
Models from 338Canada and similar aggregators as of late August 2026 place QS ahead or competitive in several longstanding strongholds such as Gouin, Mercier, Taschereau, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques, even as overall support has declined from prior cycles. The October 5 election timeline leaves limited opportunity for a sudden province-wide shift capable of eliminating all QS incumbents or contenders. Recent Synopsis and Léger surveys show QS holding steady amid a tightening PQ–CAQ contest, with no evidence of collapse in its core districts. Trader consensus at 94% reflects this structural resilience and the low likelihood of zero seats under current polling distributions.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$310Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x65070BE91...**Québec Solidaire maintains concentrated support in key Montreal ridings and surrounding urban areas, supporting consistent seat projections of 5–9 despite province-wide polling near 8–10%.** Models from 338Canada and similar aggregators as of late August 2026 place QS ahead or competitive in several longstanding strongholds such as Gouin, Mercier, Taschereau, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques, even as overall support has declined from prior cycles. The October 5 election timeline leaves limited opportunity for a sudden province-wide shift capable of eliminating all QS incumbents or contenders. Recent Synopsis and Léger surveys show QS holding steady amid a tightening PQ–CAQ contest, with no evidence of collapse in its core districts. Trader consensus at 94% reflects this structural resilience and the low likelihood of zero seats under current polling distributions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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