Recent polling during the early October 5, 2026 Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec in a statistical tie near 27-30 percent, with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) at roughly 20-24 percent after recent declines. PLQ support remains heavily concentrated among anglophones and allophones in the Montreal region, limiting seat efficiency outside urban ridings despite historical strength there. CAQ gains have come partly at Liberal expense amid voter concerns over costs, healthcare, and U.S. trade tensions. Aggregators project the PLQ in the low-to-mid 30s, consistent with trader emphasis on outcomes below 32 seats as the campaign timeline and francophone vote trends constrain broader gains.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui<28 34%
28-31 26%
32-35 13%
36-39 7%
BARU
BARU
Oct 5, 2026
<28
41%
28-31
28%
32-35
13%
36-39
7%
40-43
7%
44+
7%
<28 34%
28-31 26%
32-35 13%
36-39 7%
BARU
BARU
Oct 5, 2026
<28
$1,067 Vol.
41%
28-31
$1,232 Vol.
28%
32-35
$515 Vol.
13%
36-39
$983 Vol.
7%
40-43
$739 Vol.
7%
44+
$544 Vol.
7%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling during the early October 5, 2026 Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec in a statistical tie near 27-30 percent, with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) at roughly 20-24 percent after recent declines. PLQ support remains heavily concentrated among anglophones and allophones in the Montreal region, limiting seat efficiency outside urban ridings despite historical strength there. CAQ gains have come partly at Liberal expense amid voter concerns over costs, healthcare, and U.S. trade tensions. Aggregators project the PLQ in the low-to-mid 30s, consistent with trader emphasis on outcomes below 32 seats as the campaign timeline and francophone vote trends constrain broader gains.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Volume
$5,081Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling during the early October 5, 2026 Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec in a statistical tie near 27-30 percent, with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) at roughly 20-24 percent after recent declines. PLQ support remains heavily concentrated among anglophones and allophones in the Montreal region, limiting seat efficiency outside urban ridings despite historical strength there. CAQ gains have come partly at Liberal expense amid voter concerns over costs, healthcare, and U.S. trade tensions. Aggregators project the PLQ in the low-to-mid 30s, consistent with trader emphasis on outcomes below 32 seats as the campaign timeline and francophone vote trends constrain broader gains.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$5,081Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling during the early October 5, 2026 Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec in a statistical tie near 27-30 percent, with the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) at roughly 20-24 percent after recent declines. PLQ support remains heavily concentrated among anglophones and allophones in the Montreal region, limiting seat efficiency outside urban ridings despite historical strength there. CAQ gains have come partly at Liberal expense amid voter concerns over costs, healthcare, and U.S. trade tensions. Aggregators project the PLQ in the low-to-mid 30s, consistent with trader emphasis on outcomes below 32 seats as the campaign timeline and francophone vote trends constrain broader gains.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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