**High voter engagement driven by the contentious August 29, 2026 referendum on resuming EU accession talks produced strong turnout across Iceland.** Record advance voting exceeded 21% of the electorate before election day, with early polling-station figures in Reykjavík and other constituencies already surpassing comparable 2024 parliamentary election rates. The close pre-vote contest—centered on fisheries sovereignty, currency stability, and broader security considerations—mobilized participation nationwide. Rural districts posted particularly elevated rates above 80%, while urban areas contributed solidly, pushing the final figure to 82.5% of roughly 272,690 eligible voters. Trader pricing places the 80–85% bucket at the head of the field because these verified patterns of elevated early and advance participation aligned with historical precedents for high-stakes national votes, outweighing lower-probability scenarios in other ranges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui80–85% 98%
70–75% 39%
65–70% 24.6%
<45% 22.4%
$1,427 Vol.
$1,427 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
<45%
22%
45–50%
15%
50–55%
7%
55–60%
5%
60–65%
10%
65–70%
25%
70–75%
39%
75–80%
-
80–85%
98%
85%+
2%
80–85% 98%
70–75% 39%
65–70% 24.6%
<45% 22.4%
$1,427 Vol.
$1,427 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
<45%
$99 Vol.
22%
45–50%
$60 Vol.
15%
50–55%
$78 Vol.
7%
55–60%
$18 Vol.
5%
60–65%
$18 Vol.
10%
65–70%
$9 Vol.
25%
70–75%
$15 Vol.
39%
75–80%
$78 Vol.
-
80–85%
$255 Vol.
98%
85%+
$799 Vol.
2%
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**High voter engagement driven by the contentious August 29, 2026 referendum on resuming EU accession talks produced strong turnout across Iceland.** Record advance voting exceeded 21% of the electorate before election day, with early polling-station figures in Reykjavík and other constituencies already surpassing comparable 2024 parliamentary election rates. The close pre-vote contest—centered on fisheries sovereignty, currency stability, and broader security considerations—mobilized participation nationwide. Rural districts posted particularly elevated rates above 80%, while urban areas contributed solidly, pushing the final figure to 82.5% of roughly 272,690 eligible voters. Trader pricing places the 80–85% bucket at the head of the field because these verified patterns of elevated early and advance participation aligned with historical precedents for high-stakes national votes, outweighing lower-probability scenarios in other ranges.
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ET
Volume
$1,427Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**High voter engagement driven by the contentious August 29, 2026 referendum on resuming EU accession talks produced strong turnout across Iceland.** Record advance voting exceeded 21% of the electorate before election day, with early polling-station figures in Reykjavík and other constituencies already surpassing comparable 2024 parliamentary election rates. The close pre-vote contest—centered on fisheries sovereignty, currency stability, and broader security considerations—mobilized participation nationwide. Rural districts posted particularly elevated rates above 80%, while urban areas contributed solidly, pushing the final figure to 82.5% of roughly 272,690 eligible voters. Trader pricing places the 80–85% bucket at the head of the field because these verified patterns of elevated early and advance participation aligned with historical precedents for high-stakes national votes, outweighing lower-probability scenarios in other ranges.
A referendum on Icelandic European Union membership negotiations is expected to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for this referendum, defined as the total number of votes cast, including blank and null votes reported, divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the referendum aren't known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$1,427Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 9:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**High voter engagement driven by the contentious August 29, 2026 referendum on resuming EU accession talks produced strong turnout across Iceland.** Record advance voting exceeded 21% of the electorate before election day, with early polling-station figures in Reykjavík and other constituencies already surpassing comparable 2024 parliamentary election rates. The close pre-vote contest—centered on fisheries sovereignty, currency stability, and broader security considerations—mobilized participation nationwide. Rural districts posted particularly elevated rates above 80%, while urban areas contributed solidly, pushing the final figure to 82.5% of roughly 272,690 eligible voters. Trader pricing places the 80–85% bucket at the head of the field because these verified patterns of elevated early and advance participation aligned with historical precedents for high-stakes national votes, outweighing lower-probability scenarios in other ranges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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