US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled over implementation of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that ended major hostilities, with the primary impasse centering on control of the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and asset releases. As of mid-August 2026, indirect messaging continues through intermediaries while both sides issue conflicting statements on whether formal talks are active, and mediators from Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman are pressing for renewed technical sessions. High-level participation has included US President Trump, Vice President Vance, and senior Iranian officials in prior rounds, though recent activity has been limited to lower-level or indirect channels. Any new round before year-end would likely depend on progress in Oman-facilitated Hormuz discussions or shifts in blockade and compensation demands.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$28,543 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Jared Kushner
70%
Steve Witkoff
73%
Abbas Araghchi
63%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
63%
J.D. Vance
56%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
37%
Kazem Gharibabadi
19%
Rafael Grossi
23%
Marco Rubio
23%
Nick Stewart
21%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
18%
Ahmad Vahidi
16%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
16%
Ishaq Dar
14%
Donald Trump
12%
Mojtaba Khamenei
6%
Pete Hegseth
6%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
44%
$28,543 Vol.
Jared Kushner
$230 Vol.
70%
Steve Witkoff
$427 Vol.
73%
Abbas Araghchi
$411 Vol.
63%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$80 Vol.
63%
J.D. Vance
$584 Vol.
56%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$20 Vol.
37%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$885 Vol.
19%
Rafael Grossi
$44 Vol.
23%
Marco Rubio
$40 Vol.
23%
Nick Stewart
$60 Vol.
21%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$998 Vol.
18%
Ahmad Vahidi
$25 Vol.
16%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$939 Vol.
16%
Ishaq Dar
$932 Vol.
14%
Donald Trump
$59 Vol.
12%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$19,061 Vol.
6%
Pete Hegseth
$2,478 Vol.
6%
Esmail Qaani
$1,231 Vol.
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$40 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled over implementation of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that ended major hostilities, with the primary impasse centering on control of the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and asset releases. As of mid-August 2026, indirect messaging continues through intermediaries while both sides issue conflicting statements on whether formal talks are active, and mediators from Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman are pressing for renewed technical sessions. High-level participation has included US President Trump, Vice President Vance, and senior Iranian officials in prior rounds, though recent activity has been limited to lower-level or indirect channels. Any new round before year-end would likely depend on progress in Oman-facilitated Hormuz discussions or shifts in blockade and compensation demands.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Volume
$28,543Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled over implementation of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that ended major hostilities, with the primary impasse centering on control of the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and asset releases. As of mid-August 2026, indirect messaging continues through intermediaries while both sides issue conflicting statements on whether formal talks are active, and mediators from Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman are pressing for renewed technical sessions. High-level participation has included US President Trump, Vice President Vance, and senior Iranian officials in prior rounds, though recent activity has been limited to lower-level or indirect channels. Any new round before year-end would likely depend on progress in Oman-facilitated Hormuz discussions or shifts in blockade and compensation demands.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$28,543Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled over implementation of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that ended major hostilities, with the primary impasse centering on control of the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and asset releases. As of mid-August 2026, indirect messaging continues through intermediaries while both sides issue conflicting statements on whether formal talks are active, and mediators from Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman are pressing for renewed technical sessions. High-level participation has included US President Trump, Vice President Vance, and senior Iranian officials in prior rounds, though recent activity has been limited to lower-level or indirect channels. Any new round before year-end would likely depend on progress in Oman-facilitated Hormuz discussions or shifts in blockade and compensation demands.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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