Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan, center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, including Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues. As of mid-August, Iranian officials reported no progress reviving the interim framework, while President Trump stated talks continue regardless. Technical rounds occurred earlier in Switzerland and Doha, but recent deadlock has limited high-level participation. Key variables through August 31 include mediator-driven scheduling, any implementation steps on frozen assets or maritime access, and statements from US or Iranian delegations that could signal direct attendance by officials such as Vice President Vance or Speaker Ghalibaf. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether stalled diplomacy will yield a new round before the deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$93,892 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Nick Stewart
15%
Kazem Gharibabadi
6%
Jared Kushner
5%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
4%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
4%
Steve Witkoff
4%
Abbas Araghchi
3%
Pete Hegseth
3%
Ishaq Dar
3%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
3%
Rafael Grossi
3%
J.D. Vance
2%
Marco Rubio
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
<1%
$93,892 Vol.
Nick Stewart
$36 Vol.
15%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,690 Vol.
6%
Jared Kushner
$13,481 Vol.
5%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,051 Vol.
4%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 Vol.
4%
Steve Witkoff
$13,535 Vol.
4%
Abbas Araghchi
$9,040 Vol.
3%
Pete Hegseth
$2,630 Vol.
3%
Ishaq Dar
$2,920 Vol.
3%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$259 Vol.
3%
Rafael Grossi
$886 Vol.
3%
J.D. Vance
$11,213 Vol.
2%
Marco Rubio
$7,581 Vol.
2%
Donald Trump
$6,525 Vol.
2%
Esmail Qaani
$476 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,567 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 Vol.
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 Vol.
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,234 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan, center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, including Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues. As of mid-August, Iranian officials reported no progress reviving the interim framework, while President Trump stated talks continue regardless. Technical rounds occurred earlier in Switzerland and Doha, but recent deadlock has limited high-level participation. Key variables through August 31 include mediator-driven scheduling, any implementation steps on frozen assets or maritime access, and statements from US or Iranian delegations that could signal direct attendance by officials such as Vice President Vance or Speaker Ghalibaf. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether stalled diplomacy will yield a new round before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$93,892Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan, center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, including Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues. As of mid-August, Iranian officials reported no progress reviving the interim framework, while President Trump stated talks continue regardless. Technical rounds occurred earlier in Switzerland and Doha, but recent deadlock has limited high-level participation. Key variables through August 31 include mediator-driven scheduling, any implementation steps on frozen assets or maritime access, and statements from US or Iranian delegations that could signal direct attendance by officials such as Vice President Vance or Speaker Ghalibaf. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether stalled diplomacy will yield a new round before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$93,892Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan, center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, including Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues. As of mid-August, Iranian officials reported no progress reviving the interim framework, while President Trump stated talks continue regardless. Technical rounds occurred earlier in Switzerland and Doha, but recent deadlock has limited high-level participation. Key variables through August 31 include mediator-driven scheduling, any implementation steps on frozen assets or maritime access, and statements from US or Iranian delegations that could signal direct attendance by officials such as Vice President Vance or Speaker Ghalibaf. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether stalled diplomacy will yield a new round before the deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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