Recent releases and benchmark showings on arena.ai's Text Arena Math category have created tight competition for third place by late October, with Chinese labs such as Baidu, ByteDance, and Tencent holding elevated implied probabilities around 30-35% amid strong math-focused model updates. Moonshot's Kimi series and Z.ai's GLM models have posted leading provisional scores on independent math leaderboards, highlighting specialized reasoning gains that challenge Western frontrunners like Anthropic and OpenAI. Multiple labs cluster near 50% odds because incremental improvements, new model drops, and community voting can rapidly shift lab rankings in this user-preference arena. Key catalysts ahead include additional frontier releases and any late-September leaderboard volatility before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Microsoft 35%
StepFun 30%
Xiaomi 30%
Anthropic 29%
BARU
BARU
Oct 31, 2026
Microsoft
35%
StepFun
30%
Xiaomi
30%
Anthropic
29%
DeepSeek
28%
Meituan
28%
Bytedance
28%
Tencent
28%
Nvidia
27%
Mistral
26%
26%
Meta
26%
Amazon
26%
Z.ai
24%
OpenAI
22%
Baidu
27%
SpaceXAI
9%
MiniMax
6%
Alibaba
28%
Moonshot
29%
Microsoft 35%
StepFun 30%
Xiaomi 30%
Anthropic 29%
BARU
BARU
Oct 31, 2026
Microsoft
$72 Vol.
35%
StepFun
$20 Vol.
30%
Xiaomi
$49 Vol.
30%
Anthropic
$49 Vol.
29%
DeepSeek
$49 Vol.
28%
Meituan
$129 Vol.
28%
Bytedance
$89 Vol.
28%
Tencent
$49 Vol.
28%
Nvidia
$76 Vol.
27%
Mistral
$122 Vol.
26%
$25 Vol.
26%
Meta
$49 Vol.
26%
Amazon
$49 Vol.
26%
Z.ai
$49 Vol.
24%
OpenAI
$49 Vol.
22%
Baidu
$59 Vol.
27%
SpaceXAI
$49 Vol.
9%
MiniMax
$88 Vol.
6%
Alibaba
$49 Vol.
28%
Moonshot
$59 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases and benchmark showings on arena.ai's Text Arena Math category have created tight competition for third place by late October, with Chinese labs such as Baidu, ByteDance, and Tencent holding elevated implied probabilities around 30-35% amid strong math-focused model updates. Moonshot's Kimi series and Z.ai's GLM models have posted leading provisional scores on independent math leaderboards, highlighting specialized reasoning gains that challenge Western frontrunners like Anthropic and OpenAI. Multiple labs cluster near 50% odds because incremental improvements, new model drops, and community voting can rapidly shift lab rankings in this user-preference arena. Key catalysts ahead include additional frontier releases and any late-September leaderboard volatility before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
Volume
$1,230Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases and benchmark showings on arena.ai's Text Arena Math category have created tight competition for third place by late October, with Chinese labs such as Baidu, ByteDance, and Tencent holding elevated implied probabilities around 30-35% amid strong math-focused model updates. Moonshot's Kimi series and Z.ai's GLM models have posted leading provisional scores on independent math leaderboards, highlighting specialized reasoning gains that challenge Western frontrunners like Anthropic and OpenAI. Multiple labs cluster near 50% odds because incremental improvements, new model drops, and community voting can rapidly shift lab rankings in this user-preference arena. Key catalysts ahead include additional frontier releases and any late-September leaderboard volatility before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,230Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent releases and benchmark showings on arena.ai's Text Arena Math category have created tight competition for third place by late October, with Chinese labs such as Baidu, ByteDance, and Tencent holding elevated implied probabilities around 30-35% amid strong math-focused model updates. Moonshot's Kimi series and Z.ai's GLM models have posted leading provisional scores on independent math leaderboards, highlighting specialized reasoning gains that challenge Western frontrunners like Anthropic and OpenAI. Multiple labs cluster near 50% odds because incremental improvements, new model drops, and community voting can rapidly shift lab rankings in this user-preference arena. Key catalysts ahead include additional frontier releases and any late-September leaderboard volatility before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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