**Current short-range forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 20 point to a daily minimum near 23–24°C under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean norms.** Model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs shows modest overnight radiative cooling moderated by warm sea-surface temperatures around 28°C and relatively high boundary-layer humidity, limiting the drop below the mid-20s. However, small differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, or dew-point depression can shift the low by 2–3°C, creating the observed 50 % market-implied probability on both the ≤18°C and ≥28°C tails. Historical September minima average 21°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, so the balanced odds reflect traders pricing the remaining forecast spread rather than any extreme regime shift. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 20?
18°C or below 100%
28°C or higher 100%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
100%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
39%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
40%
28°C or higher
100%
18°C or below 100%
28°C or higher 100%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$0 Vol.
40%
27°C
$0 Vol.
40%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 20 point to a daily minimum near 23–24°C under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean norms.**
Model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs shows modest overnight radiative cooling moderated by warm sea-surface temperatures around 28°C and relatively high boundary-layer humidity, limiting the drop below the mid-20s. However, small differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, or dew-point depression can shift the low by 2–3°C, creating the observed 50 % market-implied probability on both the ≤18°C and ≥28°C tails. Historical September minima average 21°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, so the balanced odds reflect traders pricing the remaining forecast spread rather than any extreme regime shift. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 20 point to a daily minimum near 23–24°C under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean norms.**
Model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs shows modest overnight radiative cooling moderated by warm sea-surface temperatures around 28°C and relatively high boundary-layer humidity, limiting the drop below the mid-20s. However, small differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, or dew-point depression can shift the low by 2–3°C, creating the observed 50 % market-implied probability on both the ≤18°C and ≥28°C tails. Historical September minima average 21°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, so the balanced odds reflect traders pricing the remaining forecast spread rather than any extreme regime shift. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-range forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 20 point to a daily minimum near 23–24°C under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly flow, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean norms.** Model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs shows modest overnight radiative cooling moderated by warm sea-surface temperatures around 28°C and relatively high boundary-layer humidity, limiting the drop below the mid-20s. However, small differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, or dew-point depression can shift the low by 2–3°C, creating the observed 50 % market-implied probability on both the ≤18°C and ≥28°C tails. Historical September minima average 21°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, so the balanced odds reflect traders pricing the remaining forecast spread rather than any extreme regime shift. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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