**Current forecast consensus from global models points to a minimum temperature near 13°C overnight in Paris under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure, which supports efficient radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection.** This aligns with the market-implied 68.5% probability on 13°C, as ensemble runs cluster tightly around 12–14°C lows consistent with late-September climatology (historical average low near 11°C). Recent model updates show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture to alter boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to discount lower outcomes (11–12°C at combined ~16.5%) absent fresh data indicating stronger nocturnal cooling or revised guidance from agencies like Météo-France. The next key update will come from overnight observations and morning model cycles confirming the actual minimum before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 19?
13°C 96%
11°C 13%
12°C 4%
10°C or below 1.6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
4%
13°C
96%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
13°C 96%
11°C 13%
12°C 4%
10°C or below 1.6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
$135 Vol.
2%
11°C
$659 Vol.
13%
12°C
$1,384 Vol.
4%
13°C
$4,656 Vol.
96%
14°C
$1,339 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from global models points to a minimum temperature near 13°C overnight in Paris under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure, which supports efficient radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection.** This aligns with the market-implied 68.5% probability on 13°C, as ensemble runs cluster tightly around 12–14°C lows consistent with late-September climatology (historical average low near 11°C). Recent model updates show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture to alter boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to discount lower outcomes (11–12°C at combined ~16.5%) absent fresh data indicating stronger nocturnal cooling or revised guidance from agencies like Météo-France. The next key update will come from overnight observations and morning model cycles confirming the actual minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$8,587Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from global models points to a minimum temperature near 13°C overnight in Paris under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure, which supports efficient radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection.** This aligns with the market-implied 68.5% probability on 13°C, as ensemble runs cluster tightly around 12–14°C lows consistent with late-September climatology (historical average low near 11°C). Recent model updates show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture to alter boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to discount lower outcomes (11–12°C at combined ~16.5%) absent fresh data indicating stronger nocturnal cooling or revised guidance from agencies like Météo-France. The next key update will come from overnight observations and morning model cycles confirming the actual minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,587Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from global models points to a minimum temperature near 13°C overnight in Paris under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure, which supports efficient radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection.** This aligns with the market-implied 68.5% probability on 13°C, as ensemble runs cluster tightly around 12–14°C lows consistent with late-September climatology (historical average low near 11°C). Recent model updates show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture to alter boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to discount lower outcomes (11–12°C at combined ~16.5%) absent fresh data indicating stronger nocturnal cooling or revised guidance from agencies like Météo-France. The next key update will come from overnight observations and morning model cycles confirming the actual minimum before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan