Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 21, supporting daytime radiative heating that favors a maximum temperature near 25–27°C. High-pressure dominance and low precipitation probability have stabilized these projections over the past 48 hours, with ensemble spreads narrowing around 26°C. Market-implied odds place 24°C as the frontrunner at 45%, reflecting trader caution over potential model underestimation of cloud cover or slight cooling advection, while 25–27°C outcomes together capture over 50% of probability amid typical late-September variability in the region. Updated runs from global models and local observations will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 21?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 21?
24°C 45%
26°C 40%
27°C 30%
23°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
29%
24°C
45%
25°C
27%
26°C
40%
27°C
30%
28°C
19%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
4%
24°C 45%
26°C 40%
27°C 30%
23°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
7%
23°C
$0 Vol.
29%
24°C
$36 Vol.
45%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
40%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
19%
29°C
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 21, supporting daytime radiative heating that favors a maximum temperature near 25–27°C. High-pressure dominance and low precipitation probability have stabilized these projections over the past 48 hours, with ensemble spreads narrowing around 26°C. Market-implied odds place 24°C as the frontrunner at 45%, reflecting trader caution over potential model underestimation of cloud cover or slight cooling advection, while 25–27°C outcomes together capture over 50% of probability amid typical late-September variability in the region. Updated runs from global models and local observations will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$36Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 21, supporting daytime radiative heating that favors a maximum temperature near 25–27°C. High-pressure dominance and low precipitation probability have stabilized these projections over the past 48 hours, with ensemble spreads narrowing around 26°C. Market-implied odds place 24°C as the frontrunner at 45%, reflecting trader caution over potential model underestimation of cloud cover or slight cooling advection, while 25–27°C outcomes together capture over 50% of probability amid typical late-September variability in the region. Updated runs from global models and local observations will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 21, supporting daytime radiative heating that favors a maximum temperature near 25–27°C. High-pressure dominance and low precipitation probability have stabilized these projections over the past 48 hours, with ensemble spreads narrowing around 26°C. Market-implied odds place 24°C as the frontrunner at 45%, reflecting trader caution over potential model underestimation of cloud cover or slight cooling advection, while 25–27°C outcomes together capture over 50% of probability amid typical late-September variability in the region. Updated runs from global models and local observations will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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