**Current meteorological forecasts position a minimum temperature of 12–13°C as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those levels (combined ~80.5% implied probability).** Late-August climatology for the region shows average overnight lows near 14–15°C, but recent model consensus from sources such as the ECMWF and Météo-France indicates slightly enhanced radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, trimming the expected minimum by 1–2°C. Daytime highs are projected around 24°C with gentle breezes, allowing efficient heat loss after sunset. No significant warm-air advection, cloud cover, or precipitation is expected to moderate the overnight drop, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 12–13°C while leaving only modest probability for outliers above 14°C or below 11°C. Updated model runs closer to resolution will refine these values, but current conditions support the observed trader consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 23?
12°C 42%
13°C 42%
14°C 15%
11°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
29%
13°C
53%
14°C
9%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 42%
13°C 42%
14°C 15%
11°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$119 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$140 Vol.
1%
10°C
$399 Vol.
1%
11°C
$304 Vol.
5%
12°C
$811 Vol.
29%
13°C
$713 Vol.
53%
14°C
$163 Vol.
9%
15°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$688 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$516 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$262 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological forecasts position a minimum temperature of 12–13°C as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those levels (combined ~80.5% implied probability).** Late-August climatology for the region shows average overnight lows near 14–15°C, but recent model consensus from sources such as the ECMWF and Météo-France indicates slightly enhanced radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, trimming the expected minimum by 1–2°C.
Daytime highs are projected around 24°C with gentle breezes, allowing efficient heat loss after sunset. No significant warm-air advection, cloud cover, or precipitation is expected to moderate the overnight drop, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 12–13°C while leaving only modest probability for outliers above 14°C or below 11°C. Updated model runs closer to resolution will refine these values, but current conditions support the observed trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$4,252Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological forecasts position a minimum temperature of 12–13°C as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those levels (combined ~80.5% implied probability).** Late-August climatology for the region shows average overnight lows near 14–15°C, but recent model consensus from sources such as the ECMWF and Météo-France indicates slightly enhanced radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, trimming the expected minimum by 1–2°C.
Daytime highs are projected around 24°C with gentle breezes, allowing efficient heat loss after sunset. No significant warm-air advection, cloud cover, or precipitation is expected to moderate the overnight drop, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 12–13°C while leaving only modest probability for outliers above 14°C or below 11°C. Updated model runs closer to resolution will refine these values, but current conditions support the observed trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,252Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current meteorological forecasts position a minimum temperature of 12–13°C as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those levels (combined ~80.5% implied probability).** Late-August climatology for the region shows average overnight lows near 14–15°C, but recent model consensus from sources such as the ECMWF and Météo-France indicates slightly enhanced radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, trimming the expected minimum by 1–2°C. Daytime highs are projected around 24°C with gentle breezes, allowing efficient heat loss after sunset. No significant warm-air advection, cloud cover, or precipitation is expected to moderate the overnight drop, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 12–13°C while leaving only modest probability for outliers above 14°C or below 11°C. Updated model runs closer to resolution will refine these values, but current conditions support the observed trader consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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