Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project an overnight low of 9–11°C for Moscow on August 30 under cloudy skies with light southerly winds and possible light rain, closely matching the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C. This consensus, reinforced by multiple model runs and recent observations showing minimal radiative cooling, underpins the market's strong 98% implied probability on 11°C. A realistic shift toward 10°C or lower would require clearer skies or altered wind patterns enhancing nocturnal cooling beyond current guidance, though forecast confidence remains high with resolution imminent.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
11°C 98%
10°C 16.3%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,663 Vol.
$1,663 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
16%
11°C
98%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 98%
10°C 16.3%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,663 Vol.
$1,663 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
5°C or below
$173 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$111 Vol.
16%
11°C
$499 Vol.
98%
12°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$343 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project an overnight low of 9–11°C for Moscow on August 30 under cloudy skies with light southerly winds and possible light rain, closely matching the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C. This consensus, reinforced by multiple model runs and recent observations showing minimal radiative cooling, underpins the market's strong 98% implied probability on 11°C. A realistic shift toward 10°C or lower would require clearer skies or altered wind patterns enhancing nocturnal cooling beyond current guidance, though forecast confidence remains high with resolution imminent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,663Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project an overnight low of 9–11°C for Moscow on August 30 under cloudy skies with light southerly winds and possible light rain, closely matching the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C. This consensus, reinforced by multiple model runs and recent observations showing minimal radiative cooling, underpins the market's strong 98% implied probability on 11°C. A realistic shift toward 10°C or lower would require clearer skies or altered wind patterns enhancing nocturnal cooling beyond current guidance, though forecast confidence remains high with resolution imminent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,663Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project an overnight low of 9–11°C for Moscow on August 30 under cloudy skies with light southerly winds and possible light rain, closely matching the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C. This consensus, reinforced by multiple model runs and recent observations showing minimal radiative cooling, underpins the market's strong 98% implied probability on 11°C. A realistic shift toward 10°C or lower would require clearer skies or altered wind patterns enhancing nocturnal cooling beyond current guidance, though forecast confidence remains high with resolution imminent.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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