**Mild overnight conditions and stable atmospheric patterns underpin the near-certain market consensus for a 15°C minimum in London on September 6.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and model guidance indicate daytime highs near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow, followed by overnight lows settling around 15–18°C as skies clear modestly and winds remain light. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average lows hover near 12–14°C but current high pressure and warmer air advection support the higher end. With resolution imminent and no significant model spread or incoming fronts projected, traders assign overwhelming implied probability to 15°C. Only a sharp, unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on September 6?
Lowest temperature in London on September 6?
15°C 99.5%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.5%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
$55 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,988 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,546 Vol.
100%
16°C
$2,522 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$152 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$75 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions and stable atmospheric patterns underpin the near-certain market consensus for a 15°C minimum in London on September 6.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and model guidance indicate daytime highs near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow, followed by overnight lows settling around 15–18°C as skies clear modestly and winds remain light. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average lows hover near 12–14°C but current high pressure and warmer air advection support the higher end. With resolution imminent and no significant model spread or incoming fronts projected, traders assign overwhelming implied probability to 15°C. Only a sharp, unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$9,201Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions and stable atmospheric patterns underpin the near-certain market consensus for a 15°C minimum in London on September 6.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and model guidance indicate daytime highs near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow, followed by overnight lows settling around 15–18°C as skies clear modestly and winds remain light. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average lows hover near 12–14°C but current high pressure and warmer air advection support the higher end. With resolution imminent and no significant model spread or incoming fronts projected, traders assign overwhelming implied probability to 15°C. Only a sharp, unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,201Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mild overnight conditions and stable atmospheric patterns underpin the near-certain market consensus for a 15°C minimum in London on September 6.** Official forecasts from the Met Office and model guidance indicate daytime highs near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow, followed by overnight lows settling around 15–18°C as skies clear modestly and winds remain light. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average lows hover near 12–14°C but current high pressure and warmer air advection support the higher end. With resolution imminent and no significant model spread or incoming fronts projected, traders assign overwhelming implied probability to 15°C. Only a sharp, unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized measurement variance at official stations could realistically shift the recorded minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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