Recent showers and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea kept overnight radiative cooling limited in Hong Kong on August 31, supporting a minimum near 26–27 °C at the Observatory. This aligns with late-August climatology, where typical daily minima range 25–27 °C amid high humidity (75–95 %) and light northerly winds. Model consensus and official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory consistently projected a low of 27 °C, with only modest variability from localized convective activity. The market’s strong weighting toward 26 °C reflects trader assessment of these verified conditions and the narrow historical range for the date, while lower-probability outcomes below 24 °C or above 30 °C remain unlikely given the stable steering pattern and absence of significant cold-air intrusions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
26°C 77.7%
24°C 5.2%
27°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
$19,248 Vol.
$19,248 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
-
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
78%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
-
26°C 77.7%
24°C 5.2%
27°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
$19,248 Vol.
$19,248 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
$273 Vol.
-
22°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,277 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,467 Vol.
5%
25°C
$4,249 Vol.
7%
26°C
$4,431 Vol.
78%
27°C
$4,875 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,379 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$420 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$283 Vol.
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent showers and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea kept overnight radiative cooling limited in Hong Kong on August 31, supporting a minimum near 26–27 °C at the Observatory. This aligns with late-August climatology, where typical daily minima range 25–27 °C amid high humidity (75–95 %) and light northerly winds. Model consensus and official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory consistently projected a low of 27 °C, with only modest variability from localized convective activity. The market’s strong weighting toward 26 °C reflects trader assessment of these verified conditions and the narrow historical range for the date, while lower-probability outcomes below 24 °C or above 30 °C remain unlikely given the stable steering pattern and absence of significant cold-air intrusions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$19,248Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent showers and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea kept overnight radiative cooling limited in Hong Kong on August 31, supporting a minimum near 26–27 °C at the Observatory. This aligns with late-August climatology, where typical daily minima range 25–27 °C amid high humidity (75–95 %) and light northerly winds. Model consensus and official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory consistently projected a low of 27 °C, with only modest variability from localized convective activity. The market’s strong weighting toward 26 °C reflects trader assessment of these verified conditions and the narrow historical range for the date, while lower-probability outcomes below 24 °C or above 30 °C remain unlikely given the stable steering pattern and absence of significant cold-air intrusions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,248Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent showers and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea kept overnight radiative cooling limited in Hong Kong on August 31, supporting a minimum near 26–27 °C at the Observatory. This aligns with late-August climatology, where typical daily minima range 25–27 °C amid high humidity (75–95 %) and light northerly winds. Model consensus and official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory consistently projected a low of 27 °C, with only modest variability from localized convective activity. The market’s strong weighting toward 26 °C reflects trader assessment of these verified conditions and the narrow historical range for the date, while lower-probability outcomes below 24 °C or above 30 °C remain unlikely given the stable steering pattern and absence of significant cold-air intrusions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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