Official National Weather Service guidance places the highest temperature near 89°F on August 31, with morning scattered showers and thunderstorms giving way to partly cloudy skies and southwest winds of 10-15 mph. This forecast aligns closely with the near-even market split between the 88-89°F and 90-91°F bins, reflecting uncertainty around exact peak timing and any convective cooling. Above-normal humidity will support heat indices near 95-100°F, while recent model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns that favor modest warming from the prior day’s lower-80s readings. Historical averages for the date sit near 81°F, underscoring how current synoptic conditions have elevated probabilities for the upper 80s to low 90s range. Final resolution hinges on afternoon observations at official reporting stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on August 31?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 31?
88-89°F 35%
90-91°F 32%
86-87°F 12%
92-93°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 35%
90-91°F 32%
86-87°F 12%
92-93°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
81°F or below
$113 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$145 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$424 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$465 Vol.
12%
88-89°F
$437 Vol.
35%
90-91°F
$1,437 Vol.
32%
92-93°F
$504 Vol.
9%
94-95°F
$129 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$57 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$123 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance places the highest temperature near 89°F on August 31, with morning scattered showers and thunderstorms giving way to partly cloudy skies and southwest winds of 10-15 mph. This forecast aligns closely with the near-even market split between the 88-89°F and 90-91°F bins, reflecting uncertainty around exact peak timing and any convective cooling. Above-normal humidity will support heat indices near 95-100°F, while recent model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns that favor modest warming from the prior day’s lower-80s readings. Historical averages for the date sit near 81°F, underscoring how current synoptic conditions have elevated probabilities for the upper 80s to low 90s range. Final resolution hinges on afternoon observations at official reporting stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,069Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance places the highest temperature near 89°F on August 31, with morning scattered showers and thunderstorms giving way to partly cloudy skies and southwest winds of 10-15 mph. This forecast aligns closely with the near-even market split between the 88-89°F and 90-91°F bins, reflecting uncertainty around exact peak timing and any convective cooling. Above-normal humidity will support heat indices near 95-100°F, while recent model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns that favor modest warming from the prior day’s lower-80s readings. Historical averages for the date sit near 81°F, underscoring how current synoptic conditions have elevated probabilities for the upper 80s to low 90s range. Final resolution hinges on afternoon observations at official reporting stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,069Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service guidance places the highest temperature near 89°F on August 31, with morning scattered showers and thunderstorms giving way to partly cloudy skies and southwest winds of 10-15 mph. This forecast aligns closely with the near-even market split between the 88-89°F and 90-91°F bins, reflecting uncertainty around exact peak timing and any convective cooling. Above-normal humidity will support heat indices near 95-100°F, while recent model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns that favor modest warming from the prior day’s lower-80s readings. Historical averages for the date sit near 81°F, underscoring how current synoptic conditions have elevated probabilities for the upper 80s to low 90s range. Final resolution hinges on afternoon observations at official reporting stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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