Trader consensus on September precipitation totals in New York City shows tight clustering among mid-range bins because climatological signals remain mixed at the start of the month. Atlantic hurricane season peaks in September, raising the chance of tropical moisture influx that could push totals above 5 inches, yet steering currents and the absence of a strong El Niño or La Niña pattern limit confident shifts toward extremes. Historical records indicate average September rainfall near 4 inches with substantial year-to-year variability driven by frontal systems and nor’easters. Early-month forecast models and sea-surface temperature updates will provide the next key data points for refining implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPrecipitation in NYC in September?
Precipitation in NYC in September?
3-4" 23%
>6" 23%
2-3" 19%
4-5" 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 30, 2026
<2"
8%
2-3"
19%
3-4"
23%
4-5"
19%
5-6"
14%
>6"
23%
3-4" 23%
>6" 23%
2-3" 19%
4-5" 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 30, 2026
<2"
$441 Vol.
8%
2-3"
$0 Vol.
19%
3-4"
$50 Vol.
23%
4-5"
$0 Vol.
19%
5-6"
$10 Vol.
14%
>6"
$45 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on September precipitation totals in New York City shows tight clustering among mid-range bins because climatological signals remain mixed at the start of the month. Atlantic hurricane season peaks in September, raising the chance of tropical moisture influx that could push totals above 5 inches, yet steering currents and the absence of a strong El Niño or La Niña pattern limit confident shifts toward extremes. Historical records indicate average September rainfall near 4 inches with substantial year-to-year variability driven by frontal systems and nor’easters. Early-month forecast models and sea-surface temperature updates will provide the next key data points for refining implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ET
Volume
$546Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on September precipitation totals in New York City shows tight clustering among mid-range bins because climatological signals remain mixed at the start of the month. Atlantic hurricane season peaks in September, raising the chance of tropical moisture influx that could push totals above 5 inches, yet steering currents and the absence of a strong El Niño or La Niña pattern limit confident shifts toward extremes. Historical records indicate average September rainfall near 4 inches with substantial year-to-year variability driven by frontal systems and nor’easters. Early-month forecast models and sea-surface temperature updates will provide the next key data points for refining implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$546Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on September precipitation totals in New York City shows tight clustering among mid-range bins because climatological signals remain mixed at the start of the month. Atlantic hurricane season peaks in September, raising the chance of tropical moisture influx that could push totals above 5 inches, yet steering currents and the absence of a strong El Niño or La Niña pattern limit confident shifts toward extremes. Historical records indicate average September rainfall near 4 inches with substantial year-to-year variability driven by frontal systems and nor’easters. Early-month forecast models and sea-surface temperature updates will provide the next key data points for refining implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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