Recent forecast models from agencies and services indicate overnight lows in Helsinki on September 1 will likely settle between 9–14 °C as a southwesterly flow brings milder maritime air after a period of unsettled conditions. Key differentiators include the timing and extent of cloud cover, which modulates radiative cooling, along with wind speeds that limit nocturnal temperature drops under partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology places the typical September 1 minimum near 11 °C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 10–13 °C. Traders appear to weigh residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and any late-day showers against this baseline, with higher temperatures less favored given the expected clear spells allowing efficient heat loss. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on September 1?
18°C or higher 38%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
10°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
25%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
19%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
38%
18°C or higher 38%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
10°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
8°C or below
$144 Vol.
1%
9°C
$20 Vol.
25%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$20 Vol.
2%
17°C
$10 Vol.
8%
18°C or higher
$140 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies and services indicate overnight lows in Helsinki on September 1 will likely settle between 9–14 °C as a southwesterly flow brings milder maritime air after a period of unsettled conditions. Key differentiators include the timing and extent of cloud cover, which modulates radiative cooling, along with wind speeds that limit nocturnal temperature drops under partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology places the typical September 1 minimum near 11 °C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 10–13 °C. Traders appear to weigh residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and any late-day showers against this baseline, with higher temperatures less favored given the expected clear spells allowing efficient heat loss. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$334Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies and services indicate overnight lows in Helsinki on September 1 will likely settle between 9–14 °C as a southwesterly flow brings milder maritime air after a period of unsettled conditions. Key differentiators include the timing and extent of cloud cover, which modulates radiative cooling, along with wind speeds that limit nocturnal temperature drops under partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology places the typical September 1 minimum near 11 °C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 10–13 °C. Traders appear to weigh residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and any late-day showers against this baseline, with higher temperatures less favored given the expected clear spells allowing efficient heat loss. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$334Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies and services indicate overnight lows in Helsinki on September 1 will likely settle between 9–14 °C as a southwesterly flow brings milder maritime air after a period of unsettled conditions. Key differentiators include the timing and extent of cloud cover, which modulates radiative cooling, along with wind speeds that limit nocturnal temperature drops under partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology places the typical September 1 minimum near 11 °C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 10–13 °C. Traders appear to weigh residual model spread in boundary-layer moisture and any late-day showers against this baseline, with higher temperatures less favored given the expected clear spells allowing efficient heat loss. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan