**Latest numerical weather prediction guidance from European and global models shows the overnight minimum temperature in Helsinki on August 31 clustering between 13–16 °C, producing nearly equal market-implied odds near 26–27 % for each of those outcomes.** Persistent southerly flow, high humidity above 90 %, and variable cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light winds and scattered showers introduce small timing differences that shift the exact low by 1–3 °C across ensemble members. The Finnish Meteorological Institute and other operational centers currently indicate a most likely range of 14–15 °C, consistent with late-August climatology, yet the narrow spread in model output leaves room for revision with the next high-resolution runs or updated observations. Traders are therefore weighting recent model consensus heavily, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the Helsinki station tomorrow.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 31?
14°C 50%
16°C 27%
13°C 27%
15°C 27%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
14°C 50%
16°C 27%
13°C 27%
15°C 27%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather prediction guidance from European and global models shows the overnight minimum temperature in Helsinki on August 31 clustering between 13–16 °C, producing nearly equal market-implied odds near 26–27 % for each of those outcomes.** Persistent southerly flow, high humidity above 90 %, and variable cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while light winds and scattered showers introduce small timing differences that shift the exact low by 1–3 °C across ensemble members. The Finnish Meteorological Institute and other operational centers currently indicate a most likely range of 14–15 °C, consistent with late-August climatology, yet the narrow spread in model output leaves room for revision with the next high-resolution runs or updated observations. Traders are therefore weighting recent model consensus heavily, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the Helsinki station tomorrow.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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