**Trader consensus heavily favors a 23°C minimum in Chengdu on August 30, 2026, at 93% implied probability.** Multiple official forecasts, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance and global models, project an overnight low near 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwest to northeast winds under 10 km/h, and humidity around 50-70% following a daytime high of 31-33°C. This aligns with typical late-August conditions in the Sichuan basin, where radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy nights produces minima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance clustering tightly around this value. Realistic challenges include localized fog or increased cloud cover that could raise the low by 1-2°C, or an unanticipated wind shift enhancing mixing and cooling toward 21-22°C, though current observations and short-range updates indicate low likelihood of such deviations before midnight resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
23°C 99%
21°C 9%
22°C 5%
20°C 2%
$2,269 Vol.
$2,269 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
5%
23°C
99%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99%
21°C 9%
22°C 5%
20°C 2%
$2,269 Vol.
$2,269 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
$195 Vol.
1%
19°C
$246 Vol.
1%
20°C
$39 Vol.
2%
21°C
$34 Vol.
9%
22°C
$44 Vol.
5%
23°C
$106 Vol.
99%
24°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$382 Vol.
1%
26°C
$187 Vol.
1%
27°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$420 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 23°C minimum in Chengdu on August 30, 2026, at 93% implied probability.** Multiple official forecasts, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance and global models, project an overnight low near 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwest to northeast winds under 10 km/h, and humidity around 50-70% following a daytime high of 31-33°C. This aligns with typical late-August conditions in the Sichuan basin, where radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy nights produces minima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance clustering tightly around this value. Realistic challenges include localized fog or increased cloud cover that could raise the low by 1-2°C, or an unanticipated wind shift enhancing mixing and cooling toward 21-22°C, though current observations and short-range updates indicate low likelihood of such deviations before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,269Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 23°C minimum in Chengdu on August 30, 2026, at 93% implied probability.** Multiple official forecasts, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance and global models, project an overnight low near 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwest to northeast winds under 10 km/h, and humidity around 50-70% following a daytime high of 31-33°C. This aligns with typical late-August conditions in the Sichuan basin, where radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy nights produces minima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance clustering tightly around this value. Realistic challenges include localized fog or increased cloud cover that could raise the low by 1-2°C, or an unanticipated wind shift enhancing mixing and cooling toward 21-22°C, though current observations and short-range updates indicate low likelihood of such deviations before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,269Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 23°C minimum in Chengdu on August 30, 2026, at 93% implied probability.** Multiple official forecasts, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance and global models, project an overnight low near 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwest to northeast winds under 10 km/h, and humidity around 50-70% following a daytime high of 31-33°C. This aligns with typical late-August conditions in the Sichuan basin, where radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy nights produces minima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most guidance clustering tightly around this value. Realistic challenges include localized fog or increased cloud cover that could raise the low by 1-2°C, or an unanticipated wind shift enhancing mixing and cooling toward 21-22°C, though current observations and short-range updates indicate low likelihood of such deviations before midnight resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan