Current forecasts from global models show Beijing's overnight low on September 1 centered near 19–20°C under clear skies and light northerly flow, favoring moderate radiative cooling overnight with limited cloud cover or moisture to retain heat. The tightly clustered market odds around 16–19°C reflect remaining uncertainty in local station measurements, urban heat island effects, and minor model spread in boundary-layer temperatures ahead of the final GFS and ECMWF runs. Stable high-pressure conditions have suppressed cooler air intrusions, keeping probabilities for sub-16°C outcomes low while capping upside from warmer advection. Traders will watch the next 48-hour model updates and official Beijing Meteorological Service guidance for any shifts in minimum temperature guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Beijing on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 1?
19°C 31%
18°C 31%
20°C 26%
16°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
13°C or below
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
24%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
31%
19°C
31%
20°C
26%
21°C
20%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 31%
18°C 31%
20°C 26%
16°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
13°C or below
$10 Vol.
4%
14°C
$140 Vol.
10%
15°C
$0 Vol.
24%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
31%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$110 Vol.
20%
22°C
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models show Beijing's overnight low on September 1 centered near 19–20°C under clear skies and light northerly flow, favoring moderate radiative cooling overnight with limited cloud cover or moisture to retain heat. The tightly clustered market odds around 16–19°C reflect remaining uncertainty in local station measurements, urban heat island effects, and minor model spread in boundary-layer temperatures ahead of the final GFS and ECMWF runs. Stable high-pressure conditions have suppressed cooler air intrusions, keeping probabilities for sub-16°C outcomes low while capping upside from warmer advection. Traders will watch the next 48-hour model updates and official Beijing Meteorological Service guidance for any shifts in minimum temperature guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$260Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models show Beijing's overnight low on September 1 centered near 19–20°C under clear skies and light northerly flow, favoring moderate radiative cooling overnight with limited cloud cover or moisture to retain heat. The tightly clustered market odds around 16–19°C reflect remaining uncertainty in local station measurements, urban heat island effects, and minor model spread in boundary-layer temperatures ahead of the final GFS and ECMWF runs. Stable high-pressure conditions have suppressed cooler air intrusions, keeping probabilities for sub-16°C outcomes low while capping upside from warmer advection. Traders will watch the next 48-hour model updates and official Beijing Meteorological Service guidance for any shifts in minimum temperature guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$260Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global models show Beijing's overnight low on September 1 centered near 19–20°C under clear skies and light northerly flow, favoring moderate radiative cooling overnight with limited cloud cover or moisture to retain heat. The tightly clustered market odds around 16–19°C reflect remaining uncertainty in local station measurements, urban heat island effects, and minor model spread in boundary-layer temperatures ahead of the final GFS and ECMWF runs. Stable high-pressure conditions have suppressed cooler air intrusions, keeping probabilities for sub-16°C outcomes low while capping upside from warmer advection. Traders will watch the next 48-hour model updates and official Beijing Meteorological Service guidance for any shifts in minimum temperature guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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