Trader consensus around 70-73°F for Austin's lowest temperature on September 19 reflects model agreement on moderate overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. Regional high pressure and dew points near 65°F limit radiative heat loss, while typical mid-September climatology sets a baseline low near 70°F. Small differences between the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins hinge on exact wind speeds above 5 mph and any late-day cloud cover that could raise minimums by 1-2°F. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show low spread, keeping lower outcomes like 66-67°F at just 9% implied probability absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated observations tonight will refine these narrow ranges before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Austin on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 19?
68-69°F 95%
70-71°F 50%
72-73°F 50%
74-75°F 50%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
95%
70-71°F
50%
72-73°F
50%
74-75°F
50%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 95%
70-71°F 50%
72-73°F 50%
74-75°F 50%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
63°F or below
$41 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
18%
68-69°F
$18 Vol.
95%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
50%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
50%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
50%
76-77°F
$30 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$45 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 70-73°F for Austin's lowest temperature on September 19 reflects model agreement on moderate overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. Regional high pressure and dew points near 65°F limit radiative heat loss, while typical mid-September climatology sets a baseline low near 70°F. Small differences between the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins hinge on exact wind speeds above 5 mph and any late-day cloud cover that could raise minimums by 1-2°F. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show low spread, keeping lower outcomes like 66-67°F at just 9% implied probability absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated observations tonight will refine these narrow ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$170Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 70-73°F for Austin's lowest temperature on September 19 reflects model agreement on moderate overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. Regional high pressure and dew points near 65°F limit radiative heat loss, while typical mid-September climatology sets a baseline low near 70°F. Small differences between the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins hinge on exact wind speeds above 5 mph and any late-day cloud cover that could raise minimums by 1-2°F. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show low spread, keeping lower outcomes like 66-67°F at just 9% implied probability absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated observations tonight will refine these narrow ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$170Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 70-73°F for Austin's lowest temperature on September 19 reflects model agreement on moderate overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. Regional high pressure and dew points near 65°F limit radiative heat loss, while typical mid-September climatology sets a baseline low near 70°F. Small differences between the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins hinge on exact wind speeds above 5 mph and any late-day cloud cover that could raise minimums by 1-2°F. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show low spread, keeping lower outcomes like 66-67°F at just 9% implied probability absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated observations tonight will refine these narrow ranges before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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