Recent ensemble forecasts from European and GFS models indicate a high near 19–20 °C in Warsaw on August 18, driven by westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air masses that increase cloud cover and support early showers. These conditions reduce surface insolation and limit boundary-layer mixing, suppressing afternoon temperatures below the seasonal average of 23–26 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 19 °C and 20 °C outcomes because small shifts in frontal timing or cloud persistence can alter peak values by 1–2 °C. Short-range model updates and real-time observations on the 18th will refine the exact maximum, highlighting the inherent uncertainty in convective and radiative processes for this timeframe.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 18?
19°C 39%
20°C 33%
18°C 19%
21°C 10%
BARU
$16,972 Vol.
BARU
$16,972 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
19%
19°C
39%
20°C
33%
21°C
10%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 39%
20°C 33%
18°C 19%
21°C 10%
BARU
$16,972 Vol.
BARU
$16,972 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
14°C or below
$290 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$313 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$932 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,427 Vol.
4%
18°C
$4,367 Vol.
19%
19°C
$1,613 Vol.
39%
20°C
$3,816 Vol.
33%
21°C
$1,493 Vol.
10%
22°C
$747 Vol.
1%
23°C
$765 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$1,209 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and GFS models indicate a high near 19–20 °C in Warsaw on August 18, driven by westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air masses that increase cloud cover and support early showers. These conditions reduce surface insolation and limit boundary-layer mixing, suppressing afternoon temperatures below the seasonal average of 23–26 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 19 °C and 20 °C outcomes because small shifts in frontal timing or cloud persistence can alter peak values by 1–2 °C. Short-range model updates and real-time observations on the 18th will refine the exact maximum, highlighting the inherent uncertainty in convective and radiative processes for this timeframe.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$16,972Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and GFS models indicate a high near 19–20 °C in Warsaw on August 18, driven by westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air masses that increase cloud cover and support early showers. These conditions reduce surface insolation and limit boundary-layer mixing, suppressing afternoon temperatures below the seasonal average of 23–26 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 19 °C and 20 °C outcomes because small shifts in frontal timing or cloud persistence can alter peak values by 1–2 °C. Short-range model updates and real-time observations on the 18th will refine the exact maximum, highlighting the inherent uncertainty in convective and radiative processes for this timeframe.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,972Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European and GFS models indicate a high near 19–20 °C in Warsaw on August 18, driven by westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air masses that increase cloud cover and support early showers. These conditions reduce surface insolation and limit boundary-layer mixing, suppressing afternoon temperatures below the seasonal average of 23–26 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 19 °C and 20 °C outcomes because small shifts in frontal timing or cloud persistence can alter peak values by 1–2 °C. Short-range model updates and real-time observations on the 18th will refine the exact maximum, highlighting the inherent uncertainty in convective and radiative processes for this timeframe.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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