Current forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate a peak temperature in Paris on September 5 around 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and high pressure, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 24°C (49.5%) and 25°C (34.5%). These conditions reflect typical early September climatology, where average highs near 23°C can rise modestly without strong advection or frontal systems. Minor model spreads in afternoon timing and cloud cover introduce uncertainty that caps odds on 26°C or higher at 11%, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given observed trends and stable steering patterns. Traders monitor final hourly observations for resolution as the day concludes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on September 5?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 5?
24°C 52%
25°C 38%
26°C 9%
23°C 6%
$37,551 Vol.
$37,551 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
52%
25°C
38%
26°C
9%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 52%
25°C 38%
26°C 9%
23°C 6%
$37,551 Vol.
$37,551 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
$1,142 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,181 Vol.
1%
22°C
$3,113 Vol.
1%
23°C
$3,292 Vol.
6%
24°C
$7,358 Vol.
52%
25°C
$7,078 Vol.
38%
26°C
$6,394 Vol.
9%
27°C
$3,777 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,693 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$928 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,423 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate a peak temperature in Paris on September 5 around 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and high pressure, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 24°C (49.5%) and 25°C (34.5%). These conditions reflect typical early September climatology, where average highs near 23°C can rise modestly without strong advection or frontal systems. Minor model spreads in afternoon timing and cloud cover introduce uncertainty that caps odds on 26°C or higher at 11%, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given observed trends and stable steering patterns. Traders monitor final hourly observations for resolution as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$37,551Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate a peak temperature in Paris on September 5 around 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and high pressure, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 24°C (49.5%) and 25°C (34.5%). These conditions reflect typical early September climatology, where average highs near 23°C can rise modestly without strong advection or frontal systems. Minor model spreads in afternoon timing and cloud cover introduce uncertainty that caps odds on 26°C or higher at 11%, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given observed trends and stable steering patterns. Traders monitor final hourly observations for resolution as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,551Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate a peak temperature in Paris on September 5 around 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and high pressure, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 24°C (49.5%) and 25°C (34.5%). These conditions reflect typical early September climatology, where average highs near 23°C can rise modestly without strong advection or frontal systems. Minor model spreads in afternoon timing and cloud cover introduce uncertainty that caps odds on 26°C or higher at 11%, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given observed trends and stable steering patterns. Traders monitor final hourly observations for resolution as the day concludes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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