**Forecast consensus from NOAA and regional models positions an 80–81°F high as the most likely outcome for New York City on September 5, 2026, with northwesterly flow, mostly sunny skies, and light winds supporting daytime warming without excessive heat buildup.** Early September climatology places the average high near 80°F at Central Park, and current conditions align closely with that baseline amid a stable post-frontal pattern. Recent observations show highs of 82°F on September 1 moderating under scattered clouds and northwest winds, while guidance for the 5th emphasizes clear to partly cloudy skies and highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Traders have concentrated probability on 80–81°F (68.5%) because model runs show limited variability from these factors, with only modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations. Upcoming hourly updates from the National Weather Service will refine the exact peak reading used for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on September 5?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 5?
80-81°F 68%
78-79°F 17%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 5%
$28,799 Vol.
$28,799 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
68%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 68%
78-79°F 17%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 5%
$28,799 Vol.
$28,799 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
69°F or below
$1,661 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$174 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$638 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$5,753 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$5,111 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$4,639 Vol.
17%
80-81°F
$4,149 Vol.
68%
82-83°F
$3,802 Vol.
11%
84-85°F
$1,432 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$1,328 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from NOAA and regional models positions an 80–81°F high as the most likely outcome for New York City on September 5, 2026, with northwesterly flow, mostly sunny skies, and light winds supporting daytime warming without excessive heat buildup.**
Early September climatology places the average high near 80°F at Central Park, and current conditions align closely with that baseline amid a stable post-frontal pattern. Recent observations show highs of 82°F on September 1 moderating under scattered clouds and northwest winds, while guidance for the 5th emphasizes clear to partly cloudy skies and highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Traders have concentrated probability on 80–81°F (68.5%) because model runs show limited variability from these factors, with only modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations. Upcoming hourly updates from the National Weather Service will refine the exact peak reading used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$28,799Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from NOAA and regional models positions an 80–81°F high as the most likely outcome for New York City on September 5, 2026, with northwesterly flow, mostly sunny skies, and light winds supporting daytime warming without excessive heat buildup.**
Early September climatology places the average high near 80°F at Central Park, and current conditions align closely with that baseline amid a stable post-frontal pattern. Recent observations show highs of 82°F on September 1 moderating under scattered clouds and northwest winds, while guidance for the 5th emphasizes clear to partly cloudy skies and highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Traders have concentrated probability on 80–81°F (68.5%) because model runs show limited variability from these factors, with only modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations. Upcoming hourly updates from the National Weather Service will refine the exact peak reading used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,799Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from NOAA and regional models positions an 80–81°F high as the most likely outcome for New York City on September 5, 2026, with northwesterly flow, mostly sunny skies, and light winds supporting daytime warming without excessive heat buildup.** Early September climatology places the average high near 80°F at Central Park, and current conditions align closely with that baseline amid a stable post-frontal pattern. Recent observations show highs of 82°F on September 1 moderating under scattered clouds and northwest winds, while guidance for the 5th emphasizes clear to partly cloudy skies and highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Traders have concentrated probability on 80–81°F (68.5%) because model runs show limited variability from these factors, with only modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations. Upcoming hourly updates from the National Weather Service will refine the exact peak reading used for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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