Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN/CONAGUA) for August 30 project a daily maximum of 24–26 °C in Mexico City, driven by the ongoing rainy season’s afternoon convection, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. International models align closely, with highs centering near 24–25 °C amid partly cloudy skies and modest easterly flow. This narrow, well-supported range underpins the market’s heavy concentration on 25 °C (52.5 %) and 26 °C or higher (25.5 %), with traders assigning low probability to outcomes outside the official 24–26 °C envelope given the consistency of agency guidance and typical late-August climatology.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
25°C 53%
26°C or higher 31%
24°C 16%
23°C 3%
$4,949 Vol.
$4,949 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
16%
25°C
53%
26°C or higher
31%
25°C 53%
26°C or higher 31%
24°C 16%
23°C 3%
$4,949 Vol.
$4,949 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
16%
25°C
53%
26°C or higher
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN/CONAGUA) for August 30 project a daily maximum of 24–26 °C in Mexico City, driven by the ongoing rainy season’s afternoon convection, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. International models align closely, with highs centering near 24–25 °C amid partly cloudy skies and modest easterly flow. This narrow, well-supported range underpins the market’s heavy concentration on 25 °C (52.5 %) and 26 °C or higher (25.5 %), with traders assigning low probability to outcomes outside the official 24–26 °C envelope given the consistency of agency guidance and typical late-August climatology.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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