The PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on August 1, 2026, calling for a daytime maximum of 32°C with a 40% rain chance, anchors trader consensus at 96% implied probability for that exact high. This aligns with climatological data showing typical August maxima near 30–31°C under the southwest monsoon, where cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers limit peaks despite the season’s warmth. Historical records from sources like Weatherspark confirm highs rarely exceed 32–33°C without anomalous clear-sky heating. A sudden shift to drier conditions or stronger insolation could push readings to 33°C and narrow the market spread, though current model consensus and seasonal analogs make such deviations unlikely before official observations finalize the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on August 1?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 1?
32°C 98%
33°C 2%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$13,944 Vol.
$13,944 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
98%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 98%
33°C 2%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$13,944 Vol.
$13,944 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
27°C or below
$263 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,121 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,022 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,371 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,292 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,672 Vol.
98%
33°C
$1,205 Vol.
2%
34°C
$1,956 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,705 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$887 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$451 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on August 1, 2026, calling for a daytime maximum of 32°C with a 40% rain chance, anchors trader consensus at 96% implied probability for that exact high. This aligns with climatological data showing typical August maxima near 30–31°C under the southwest monsoon, where cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers limit peaks despite the season’s warmth. Historical records from sources like Weatherspark confirm highs rarely exceed 32–33°C without anomalous clear-sky heating. A sudden shift to drier conditions or stronger insolation could push readings to 33°C and narrow the market spread, though current model consensus and seasonal analogs make such deviations unlikely before official observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$13,944Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on August 1, 2026, calling for a daytime maximum of 32°C with a 40% rain chance, anchors trader consensus at 96% implied probability for that exact high. This aligns with climatological data showing typical August maxima near 30–31°C under the southwest monsoon, where cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers limit peaks despite the season’s warmth. Historical records from sources like Weatherspark confirm highs rarely exceed 32–33°C without anomalous clear-sky heating. A sudden shift to drier conditions or stronger insolation could push readings to 33°C and narrow the market spread, though current model consensus and seasonal analogs make such deviations unlikely before official observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,944Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on August 1, 2026, calling for a daytime maximum of 32°C with a 40% rain chance, anchors trader consensus at 96% implied probability for that exact high. This aligns with climatological data showing typical August maxima near 30–31°C under the southwest monsoon, where cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers limit peaks despite the season’s warmth. Historical records from sources like Weatherspark confirm highs rarely exceed 32–33°C without anomalous clear-sky heating. A sudden shift to drier conditions or stronger insolation could push readings to 33°C and narrow the market spread, though current model consensus and seasonal analogs make such deviations unlikely before official observations finalize the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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