Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration for August 1, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C in Taipei under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a chance of showers, consistent with typical midsummer conditions featuring high humidity and limited solar heating. Historical August maxima average near 32–34°C, but recent days have trended warmer amid stable high-pressure patterns and minimal typhoon influence. These conditions support market-implied odds clustering on 36°C (54.5%) and 37°C (42.5%), as minor variations in cloud cover, wind, or urban heat-island effects could push the observed peak one degree higher or keep it at forecast levels. Stronger convection or earlier rain would cap temperatures nearer 35°C, while clearer skies could allow brief spikes toward 38°C, though current model consensus and low probabilities on extremes reflect limited upside. Updated CWA briefings and real-time station data near resolution will refine these ranges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on August 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 1?
36°C 84%
37°C 12%
38°C 3%
39°C or higher <1%
$56,494 Vol.
$56,494 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
84%
37°C
12%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 84%
37°C 12%
38°C 3%
39°C or higher <1%
$56,494 Vol.
$56,494 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
29°C or below
$3,813 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,660 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$549 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,364 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,873 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$9,044 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$10,256 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$8,019 Vol.
84%
37°C
$7,592 Vol.
12%
38°C
$4,118 Vol.
3%
39°C or higher
$5,206 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration for August 1, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C in Taipei under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a chance of showers, consistent with typical midsummer conditions featuring high humidity and limited solar heating. Historical August maxima average near 32–34°C, but recent days have trended warmer amid stable high-pressure patterns and minimal typhoon influence. These conditions support market-implied odds clustering on 36°C (54.5%) and 37°C (42.5%), as minor variations in cloud cover, wind, or urban heat-island effects could push the observed peak one degree higher or keep it at forecast levels. Stronger convection or earlier rain would cap temperatures nearer 35°C, while clearer skies could allow brief spikes toward 38°C, though current model consensus and low probabilities on extremes reflect limited upside. Updated CWA briefings and real-time station data near resolution will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$56,494Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration for August 1, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C in Taipei under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a chance of showers, consistent with typical midsummer conditions featuring high humidity and limited solar heating. Historical August maxima average near 32–34°C, but recent days have trended warmer amid stable high-pressure patterns and minimal typhoon influence. These conditions support market-implied odds clustering on 36°C (54.5%) and 37°C (42.5%), as minor variations in cloud cover, wind, or urban heat-island effects could push the observed peak one degree higher or keep it at forecast levels. Stronger convection or earlier rain would cap temperatures nearer 35°C, while clearer skies could allow brief spikes toward 38°C, though current model consensus and low probabilities on extremes reflect limited upside. Updated CWA briefings and real-time station data near resolution will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$56,494Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration for August 1, 2026, project a daytime high of 35°C in Taipei under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a chance of showers, consistent with typical midsummer conditions featuring high humidity and limited solar heating. Historical August maxima average near 32–34°C, but recent days have trended warmer amid stable high-pressure patterns and minimal typhoon influence. These conditions support market-implied odds clustering on 36°C (54.5%) and 37°C (42.5%), as minor variations in cloud cover, wind, or urban heat-island effects could push the observed peak one degree higher or keep it at forecast levels. Stronger convection or earlier rain would cap temperatures nearer 35°C, while clearer skies could allow brief spikes toward 38°C, though current model consensus and low probabilities on extremes reflect limited upside. Updated CWA briefings and real-time station data near resolution will refine these ranges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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