Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from Spain’s AEMET, show Madrid under a stable high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light northeast winds tomorrow, favoring peak temperatures of 33–34 °C. Subsidence warming and strong daytime insolation support this range, consistent with late-August climatology near 32 °C but elevated by the current dry, cloud-free pattern. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with minimal disagreement on maximum values, while urban heat-island effects in central Madrid could nudge readings slightly higher. The market’s heavy weighting toward 34 °C reflects trader confidence in this consensus ahead of final hourly observations on August 31.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on August 31?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 31?
34°C 62%
33°C 22%
35°C 17%
32°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
22%
34°C
62%
35°C
17%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 62%
33°C 22%
35°C 17%
32°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
$437 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$269 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,549 Vol.
22%
34°C
$1,254 Vol.
62%
35°C
$2,091 Vol.
17%
36°C
$318 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$221 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from Spain’s AEMET, show Madrid under a stable high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light northeast winds tomorrow, favoring peak temperatures of 33–34 °C. Subsidence warming and strong daytime insolation support this range, consistent with late-August climatology near 32 °C but elevated by the current dry, cloud-free pattern. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with minimal disagreement on maximum values, while urban heat-island effects in central Madrid could nudge readings slightly higher. The market’s heavy weighting toward 34 °C reflects trader confidence in this consensus ahead of final hourly observations on August 31.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,724Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from Spain’s AEMET, show Madrid under a stable high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light northeast winds tomorrow, favoring peak temperatures of 33–34 °C. Subsidence warming and strong daytime insolation support this range, consistent with late-August climatology near 32 °C but elevated by the current dry, cloud-free pattern. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with minimal disagreement on maximum values, while urban heat-island effects in central Madrid could nudge readings slightly higher. The market’s heavy weighting toward 34 °C reflects trader confidence in this consensus ahead of final hourly observations on August 31.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,724Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from Spain’s AEMET, show Madrid under a stable high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light northeast winds tomorrow, favoring peak temperatures of 33–34 °C. Subsidence warming and strong daytime insolation support this range, consistent with late-August climatology near 32 °C but elevated by the current dry, cloud-free pattern. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with minimal disagreement on maximum values, while urban heat-island effects in central Madrid could nudge readings slightly higher. The market’s heavy weighting toward 34 °C reflects trader confidence in this consensus ahead of final hourly observations on August 31.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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