**Trader sentiment strongly favors 38°C as the day's highest temperature in Jeddah, reflecting consensus across multiple weather models and forecasts issued on August 30, 2026.** Recent model runs from sources like PredictWind, Yr.no, and others consistently project a daily maximum near 38°C under typical late-summer conditions: clear to partly cloudy skies, northwest winds around 5–8 m/s, low precipitation probability, and humidity near 40–60%. This aligns with Jeddah’s historical August average high of roughly 36–38°C in its arid BWh climate, where Red Sea moderation prevents extremes seen inland. The 99.5% market-implied odds capture this tight clustering, with minimal probability assigned to deviations. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen late-day surge above 39°C from localized heating or model error, though current observational data and steering patterns make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 30?
38°C 99.5%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$24,646 Vol.
$24,646 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
100%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
38°C 99.5%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$24,646 Vol.
$24,646 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
100%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment strongly favors 38°C as the day's highest temperature in Jeddah, reflecting consensus across multiple weather models and forecasts issued on August 30, 2026.** Recent model runs from sources like PredictWind, Yr.no, and others consistently project a daily maximum near 38°C under typical late-summer conditions: clear to partly cloudy skies, northwest winds around 5–8 m/s, low precipitation probability, and humidity near 40–60%. This aligns with Jeddah’s historical August average high of roughly 36–38°C in its arid BWh climate, where Red Sea moderation prevents extremes seen inland. The 99.5% market-implied odds capture this tight clustering, with minimal probability assigned to deviations. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen late-day surge above 39°C from localized heating or model error, though current observational data and steering patterns make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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