Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a warming trend under partly cloudy or clear skies on August 6, with official and ensemble models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate projecting daytime highs of 34–36°C amid typical subtropical summer humidity and light winds. This supports the market's leading 37°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability, as urban heat island effects and potential model runs showing peak heating under reduced cloud cover could push readings higher than the 33°C August average. Lower probabilities for 35°C or below reflect consensus on modest intensification risks, while 38°C+ remains a lower-probability tail given current steering patterns and no strong heat dome signals. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6?
37°C 49%
36°C 29%
38°C 11%
35°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
11%
36°C
29%
37°C
49%
38°C
11%
39°C or higher
4%
37°C 49%
36°C 29%
38°C 11%
35°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
$226 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$222 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$119 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$183 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$181 Vol.
2%
34°C
$226 Vol.
4%
35°C
$288 Vol.
11%
36°C
$1,270 Vol.
29%
37°C
$1,175 Vol.
49%
38°C
$245 Vol.
11%
39°C or higher
$257 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a warming trend under partly cloudy or clear skies on August 6, with official and ensemble models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate projecting daytime highs of 34–36°C amid typical subtropical summer humidity and light winds. This supports the market's leading 37°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability, as urban heat island effects and potential model runs showing peak heating under reduced cloud cover could push readings higher than the 33°C August average. Lower probabilities for 35°C or below reflect consensus on modest intensification risks, while 38°C+ remains a lower-probability tail given current steering patterns and no strong heat dome signals. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$4,390Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a warming trend under partly cloudy or clear skies on August 6, with official and ensemble models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate projecting daytime highs of 34–36°C amid typical subtropical summer humidity and light winds. This supports the market's leading 37°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability, as urban heat island effects and potential model runs showing peak heating under reduced cloud cover could push readings higher than the 33°C August average. Lower probabilities for 35°C or below reflect consensus on modest intensification risks, while 38°C+ remains a lower-probability tail given current steering patterns and no strong heat dome signals. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,390Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a warming trend under partly cloudy or clear skies on August 6, with official and ensemble models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate projecting daytime highs of 34–36°C amid typical subtropical summer humidity and light winds. This supports the market's leading 37°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability, as urban heat island effects and potential model runs showing peak heating under reduced cloud cover could push readings higher than the 33°C August average. Lower probabilities for 35°C or below reflect consensus on modest intensification risks, while 38°C+ remains a lower-probability tail given current steering patterns and no strong heat dome signals. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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