Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, combined with its urban heat-island effect and surrounding topography, typically produces August daytime maxima of 34–38 °C under high humidity and weak steering winds. Current model guidance and recent station observations point to a peak near 37 °C on August 1, with afternoon thunderstorm development likely limiting further intensification and supporting the market’s 42 % probability on that outcome. Persistent regional high pressure has sustained elevated baseline warmth without a full heatwave surge, while light-rain forecasts for the day introduce modest downside risk that aligns with the clustered 35–38 °C pricing. Official resolution will depend on precise China Meteorological Administration readings at the primary urban station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 1?
37°C 37%
35°C 28%
36°C 27%
38°C 12%
$25,298 Vol.
$25,298 Vol.
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
22%
36°C
27%
37°C
37%
38°C
12%
39°C
7%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
37°C 37%
35°C 28%
36°C 27%
38°C 12%
$25,298 Vol.
$25,298 Vol.
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
22%
36°C
27%
37°C
37%
38°C
12%
39°C
7%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, combined with its urban heat-island effect and surrounding topography, typically produces August daytime maxima of 34–38 °C under high humidity and weak steering winds. Current model guidance and recent station observations point to a peak near 37 °C on August 1, with afternoon thunderstorm development likely limiting further intensification and supporting the market’s 42 % probability on that outcome. Persistent regional high pressure has sustained elevated baseline warmth without a full heatwave surge, while light-rain forecasts for the day introduce modest downside risk that aligns with the clustered 35–38 °C pricing. Official resolution will depend on precise China Meteorological Administration readings at the primary urban station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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