Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a daytime high in Busan on August 31 around 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with southwest flow and a 30–70 % chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit full solar heating while high humidity and dew points near 24–26 °C support modest afternoon warming, positioning 32 °C as the consensus peak and explaining its 50 % market-implied probability. Nearby outcomes at 31 °C and 33 °C capture model spread from variable cloud cover and timing of any rain bands, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted because climatological late-August maxima rarely exceed 33 °C without a strong high-pressure ridge and current steering patterns show no such setup. Updated model runs over the past 24–48 hours have converged on this narrow range, reinforcing trader focus on the 31–33 °C band ahead of official Korea Meteorological Administration verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Busan on August 31?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 31?
32°C 50%
31°C 25%
33°C 18%
30°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
25%
32°C
50%
33°C
18%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
31°C 25%
33°C 18%
30°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
$197 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$560 Vol.
2%
29°C
$918 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,407 Vol.
6%
31°C
$1,043 Vol.
25%
32°C
$2,161 Vol.
50%
33°C
$683 Vol.
18%
34°C
$728 Vol.
3%
35°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$314 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a daytime high in Busan on August 31 around 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with southwest flow and a 30–70 % chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit full solar heating while high humidity and dew points near 24–26 °C support modest afternoon warming, positioning 32 °C as the consensus peak and explaining its 50 % market-implied probability. Nearby outcomes at 31 °C and 33 °C capture model spread from variable cloud cover and timing of any rain bands, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted because climatological late-August maxima rarely exceed 33 °C without a strong high-pressure ridge and current steering patterns show no such setup. Updated model runs over the past 24–48 hours have converged on this narrow range, reinforcing trader focus on the 31–33 °C band ahead of official Korea Meteorological Administration verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$8,132Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a daytime high in Busan on August 31 around 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with southwest flow and a 30–70 % chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit full solar heating while high humidity and dew points near 24–26 °C support modest afternoon warming, positioning 32 °C as the consensus peak and explaining its 50 % market-implied probability. Nearby outcomes at 31 °C and 33 °C capture model spread from variable cloud cover and timing of any rain bands, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted because climatological late-August maxima rarely exceed 33 °C without a strong high-pressure ridge and current steering patterns show no such setup. Updated model runs over the past 24–48 hours have converged on this narrow range, reinforcing trader focus on the 31–33 °C band ahead of official Korea Meteorological Administration verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,132Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a daytime high in Busan on August 31 around 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with southwest flow and a 30–70 % chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit full solar heating while high humidity and dew points near 24–26 °C support modest afternoon warming, positioning 32 °C as the consensus peak and explaining its 50 % market-implied probability. Nearby outcomes at 31 °C and 33 °C capture model spread from variable cloud cover and timing of any rain bands, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted because climatological late-August maxima rarely exceed 33 °C without a strong high-pressure ridge and current steering patterns show no such setup. Updated model runs over the past 24–48 hours have converged on this narrow range, reinforcing trader focus on the 31–33 °C band ahead of official Korea Meteorological Administration verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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