Elevated mortgage rates near 6.76% continue to constrain buyer affordability and transaction volumes, anchoring trader consensus on sub-$426,000 outcomes for the September 30 U.S. median home value. Recent National Association of Realtors data showed existing-home median sales prices easing to $429,100 in August from $436,400 in July, while Zillow Home Value Index levels hovered near $369,000 with only 1.2% year-over-year growth amid rising inventory and 4.9 months of supply. Modest new-home medians around $410,700 in Q2 and slowing annual appreciation across indices reflect rate-lock effects and softer demand, limiting near-term upside through resolution. Market-implied odds above 93% for ranges below $426,000 align with these dynamics and the narrow window for meaningful shifts before month-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया<$419K 55.4%
$419K - $426K 37.9%
$433K - $440K 1.6%
$440K - $447K 1.1%
$84,497 वॉल्यूम
$84,497 वॉल्यूम
29 सित, 2026
<$419K
55%
$419K - $426K
38%
$426K - $433K
1%
$433K - $440K
2%
$440K - $447K
1%
$447K - $454K
<1%
$454K+
<1%
<$419K 55.4%
$419K - $426K 37.9%
$433K - $440K 1.6%
$440K - $447K 1.1%
$84,497 वॉल्यूम
$84,497 वॉल्यूम
29 सित, 2026
<$419K
$26,092 वॉल्यूम
55%
$419K - $426K
$17,426 वॉल्यूम
38%
$426K - $433K
$11,084 वॉल्यूम
1%
$433K - $440K
$17,567 वॉल्यूम
2%
$440K - $447K
$5,407 वॉल्यूम
1%
$447K - $454K
$5,327 वॉल्यूम
<1%
$454K+
$1,596 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.76% continue to constrain buyer affordability and transaction volumes, anchoring trader consensus on sub-$426,000 outcomes for the September 30 U.S. median home value. Recent National Association of Realtors data showed existing-home median sales prices easing to $429,100 in August from $436,400 in July, while Zillow Home Value Index levels hovered near $369,000 with only 1.2% year-over-year growth amid rising inventory and 4.9 months of supply. Modest new-home medians around $410,700 in Q2 and slowing annual appreciation across indices reflect rate-lock effects and softer demand, limiting near-term upside through resolution. Market-implied odds above 93% for ranges below $426,000 align with these dynamics and the narrow window for meaningful shifts before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$84,497समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.76% continue to constrain buyer affordability and transaction volumes, anchoring trader consensus on sub-$426,000 outcomes for the September 30 U.S. median home value. Recent National Association of Realtors data showed existing-home median sales prices easing to $429,100 in August from $436,400 in July, while Zillow Home Value Index levels hovered near $369,000 with only 1.2% year-over-year growth amid rising inventory and 4.9 months of supply. Modest new-home medians around $410,700 in Q2 and slowing annual appreciation across indices reflect rate-lock effects and softer demand, limiting near-term upside through resolution. Market-implied odds above 93% for ranges below $426,000 align with these dynamics and the narrow window for meaningful shifts before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
वॉल्यूम
$84,497समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Elevated mortgage rates near 6.76% continue to constrain buyer affordability and transaction volumes, anchoring trader consensus on sub-$426,000 outcomes for the September 30 U.S. median home value. Recent National Association of Realtors data showed existing-home median sales prices easing to $429,100 in August from $436,400 in July, while Zillow Home Value Index levels hovered near $369,000 with only 1.2% year-over-year growth amid rising inventory and 4.9 months of supply. Modest new-home medians around $410,700 in Q2 and slowing annual appreciation across indices reflect rate-lock effects and softer demand, limiting near-term upside through resolution. Market-implied odds above 93% for ranges below $426,000 align with these dynamics and the narrow window for meaningful shifts before month-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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