Recent Canadian inflation data, with headline CPI holding near 3% amid elevated gasoline prices tied to geopolitical tensions while core measures remain close to the 2% target, represent the main driver behind Polymarket pricing for the Bank of Canada’s December 9 decision. The overnight rate stands at 2.25% following seven consecutive holds, as Q2 GDP rebounded 3.3% annualized and the unemployment rate stabilized near 6.4%, yet persistent trade policy uncertainty and limited evidence of broad-based price pressures support the 60.5% implied probability of no change. Money markets embed a partial 25-basis-point hike priced in at 36%, reflecting Governor Macklem’s readiness to tighten if energy effects spill over, though most economist forecasts anticipate steady policy through year-end pending October and November data releases.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोई बदलाव नहीं 60%
25 आधार अंकों की वृद्धि 36%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की बढ़ोतरी 4%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की कटौती 3.8%
नया
नया
8 दिस, 2026
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की बढ़ोतरी
4%
25 आधार अंकों की वृद्धि
36%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
60%
25 बेसिस अंक की कटौती
1%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की कटौती
4%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 60%
25 आधार अंकों की वृद्धि 36%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की बढ़ोतरी 4%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की कटौती 3.8%
नया
नया
8 दिस, 2026
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की बढ़ोतरी
$421 वॉल्यूम
4%
25 आधार अंकों की वृद्धि
$439 वॉल्यूम
36%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$1,592 वॉल्यूम
60%
25 बेसिस अंक की कटौती
$307 वॉल्यूम
1%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की कटौती
$127 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the December 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its December 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for December 9, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its December 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.Recent Canadian inflation data, with headline CPI holding near 3% amid elevated gasoline prices tied to geopolitical tensions while core measures remain close to the 2% target, represent the main driver behind Polymarket pricing for the Bank of Canada’s December 9 decision. The overnight rate stands at 2.25% following seven consecutive holds, as Q2 GDP rebounded 3.3% annualized and the unemployment rate stabilized near 6.4%, yet persistent trade policy uncertainty and limited evidence of broad-based price pressures support the 60.5% implied probability of no change. Money markets embed a partial 25-basis-point hike priced in at 36%, reflecting Governor Macklem’s readiness to tighten if energy effects spill over, though most economist forecasts anticipate steady policy through year-end pending October and November data releases.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the December 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its December 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for December 9, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its December 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its December 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for December 9, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its December 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,886समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 7:43 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the December 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its December 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for December 9, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its December 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.Recent Canadian inflation data, with headline CPI holding near 3% amid elevated gasoline prices tied to geopolitical tensions while core measures remain close to the 2% target, represent the main driver behind Polymarket pricing for the Bank of Canada’s December 9 decision. The overnight rate stands at 2.25% following seven consecutive holds, as Q2 GDP rebounded 3.3% annualized and the unemployment rate stabilized near 6.4%, yet persistent trade policy uncertainty and limited evidence of broad-based price pressures support the 60.5% implied probability of no change. Money markets embed a partial 25-basis-point hike priced in at 36%, reflecting Governor Macklem’s readiness to tighten if energy effects spill over, though most economist forecasts anticipate steady policy through year-end pending October and November data releases.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the December 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its December 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for December 9, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its December 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its December 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for December 9, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its December 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,886समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 7:43 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent Canadian inflation data, with headline CPI holding near 3% amid elevated gasoline prices tied to geopolitical tensions while core measures remain close to the 2% target, represent the main driver behind Polymarket pricing for the Bank of Canada’s December 9 decision. The overnight rate stands at 2.25% following seven consecutive holds, as Q2 GDP rebounded 3.3% annualized and the unemployment rate stabilized near 6.4%, yet persistent trade policy uncertainty and limited evidence of broad-based price pressures support the 60.5% implied probability of no change. Money markets embed a partial 25-basis-point hike priced in at 36%, reflecting Governor Macklem’s readiness to tighten if energy effects spill over, though most economist forecasts anticipate steady policy through year-end pending October and November data releases.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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