Recent data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices near $876K with 3% year-over-year gains, supported by tight inventory outside Manhattan and modest buyer demand despite mortgage rates around 6%. Trader consensus at roughly even implied probabilities across $555K–$689K+ buckets on September 30 reflects uncertainty over whether ongoing 1–4% appreciation forecasts will hold through summer or yield to rate sensitivity and seasonal softening. Key swing factors include upcoming inflation prints, any FOMC signals on the policy rate path, and borough-level divergences where outer-borough resilience contrasts with flatter Manhattan values, all of which could shift the median within the tightly contested ranges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$636K - $663K 50.7%
$609K - $636K 23.1%
$582K - $609K 11.2%
$663K - $689K 11.0%
$13,134 वॉल्यूम
$13,134 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
<$555K
3%
$555K - $582K
1%
$582K - $609K
12%
$609K - $636K
23%
$636K - $663K
51%
$663K - $689K
11%
$689K+
6%
$636K - $663K 50.7%
$609K - $636K 23.1%
$582K - $609K 11.2%
$663K - $689K 11.0%
$13,134 वॉल्यूम
$13,134 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
<$555K
$326 वॉल्यूम
3%
$555K - $582K
$1,531 वॉल्यूम
1%
$582K - $609K
$276 वॉल्यूम
12%
$609K - $636K
$2,184 वॉल्यूम
23%
$636K - $663K
$8,009 वॉल्यूम
51%
$663K - $689K
$317 वॉल्यूम
11%
$689K+
$492 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices near $876K with 3% year-over-year gains, supported by tight inventory outside Manhattan and modest buyer demand despite mortgage rates around 6%. Trader consensus at roughly even implied probabilities across $555K–$689K+ buckets on September 30 reflects uncertainty over whether ongoing 1–4% appreciation forecasts will hold through summer or yield to rate sensitivity and seasonal softening. Key swing factors include upcoming inflation prints, any FOMC signals on the policy rate path, and borough-level divergences where outer-borough resilience contrasts with flatter Manhattan values, all of which could shift the median within the tightly contested ranges.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,134समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices near $876K with 3% year-over-year gains, supported by tight inventory outside Manhattan and modest buyer demand despite mortgage rates around 6%. Trader consensus at roughly even implied probabilities across $555K–$689K+ buckets on September 30 reflects uncertainty over whether ongoing 1–4% appreciation forecasts will hold through summer or yield to rate sensitivity and seasonal softening. Key swing factors include upcoming inflation prints, any FOMC signals on the policy rate path, and borough-level divergences where outer-borough resilience contrasts with flatter Manhattan values, all of which could shift the median within the tightly contested ranges.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
वॉल्यूम
$13,134समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices near $876K with 3% year-over-year gains, supported by tight inventory outside Manhattan and modest buyer demand despite mortgage rates around 6%. Trader consensus at roughly even implied probabilities across $555K–$689K+ buckets on September 30 reflects uncertainty over whether ongoing 1–4% appreciation forecasts will hold through summer or yield to rate sensitivity and seasonal softening. Key swing factors include upcoming inflation prints, any FOMC signals on the policy rate path, and borough-level divergences where outer-borough resilience contrasts with flatter Manhattan values, all of which could shift the median within the tightly contested ranges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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