**Elevated housing inventory and persistent price concessions continue to anchor trader expectations for Austin metro median home values near or below recent levels.** Data through August 2026 show median listing prices at $450,000 (Realtor.com), with July median sale prices around $435,000–$440,000 (Unlock MLS and Homes.com reports), reflecting a market still digesting the post-2022 correction. Months of supply remain elevated near 5.2, with over one-third of listings featuring price reductions and days on market averaging 60–73, signaling buyer leverage despite solid job growth and net in-migration. Mortgage rates near 7% continue to constrain affordability and transaction velocity, while new construction has added meaningful supply. With September 30 resolution approaching, these supply-side dynamics underpin the 86.5% market-implied probability on outcomes below $446,000, as recent monthly figures cluster in the low-to-mid $400,000s.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया<$446K 87%
$446K - $454K 6.6%
$454K - $462K 5.5%
$470K - $478K 1.4%
$93,728 वॉल्यूम
$93,728 वॉल्यूम
29 सित, 2026
<$446K
87%
$446K - $454K
7%
$454K - $462K
6%
$462K - $470K
1%
$470K - $478K
1%
$478K - $486K
1%
$486K+
1%
<$446K 87%
$446K - $454K 6.6%
$454K - $462K 5.5%
$470K - $478K 1.4%
$93,728 वॉल्यूम
$93,728 वॉल्यूम
29 सित, 2026
<$446K
$35,099 वॉल्यूम
87%
$446K - $454K
$16,894 वॉल्यूम
7%
$454K - $462K
$7,675 वॉल्यूम
6%
$462K - $470K
$6,093 वॉल्यूम
1%
$470K - $478K
$12,821 वॉल्यूम
1%
$478K - $486K
$5,189 वॉल्यूम
1%
$486K+
$9,957 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)**Elevated housing inventory and persistent price concessions continue to anchor trader expectations for Austin metro median home values near or below recent levels.** Data through August 2026 show median listing prices at $450,000 (Realtor.com), with July median sale prices around $435,000–$440,000 (Unlock MLS and Homes.com reports), reflecting a market still digesting the post-2022 correction. Months of supply remain elevated near 5.2, with over one-third of listings featuring price reductions and days on market averaging 60–73, signaling buyer leverage despite solid job growth and net in-migration. Mortgage rates near 7% continue to constrain affordability and transaction velocity, while new construction has added meaningful supply. With September 30 resolution approaching, these supply-side dynamics underpin the 86.5% market-implied probability on outcomes below $446,000, as recent monthly figures cluster in the low-to-mid $400,000s.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$93,728समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)**Elevated housing inventory and persistent price concessions continue to anchor trader expectations for Austin metro median home values near or below recent levels.** Data through August 2026 show median listing prices at $450,000 (Realtor.com), with July median sale prices around $435,000–$440,000 (Unlock MLS and Homes.com reports), reflecting a market still digesting the post-2022 correction. Months of supply remain elevated near 5.2, with over one-third of listings featuring price reductions and days on market averaging 60–73, signaling buyer leverage despite solid job growth and net in-migration. Mortgage rates near 7% continue to constrain affordability and transaction velocity, while new construction has added meaningful supply. With September 30 resolution approaching, these supply-side dynamics underpin the 86.5% market-implied probability on outcomes below $446,000, as recent monthly figures cluster in the low-to-mid $400,000s.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
वॉल्यूम
$93,728समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Elevated housing inventory and persistent price concessions continue to anchor trader expectations for Austin metro median home values near or below recent levels.** Data through August 2026 show median listing prices at $450,000 (Realtor.com), with July median sale prices around $435,000–$440,000 (Unlock MLS and Homes.com reports), reflecting a market still digesting the post-2022 correction. Months of supply remain elevated near 5.2, with over one-third of listings featuring price reductions and days on market averaging 60–73, signaling buyer leverage despite solid job growth and net in-migration. Mortgage rates near 7% continue to constrain affordability and transaction velocity, while new construction has added meaningful supply. With September 30 resolution approaching, these supply-side dynamics underpin the 86.5% market-implied probability on outcomes below $446,000, as recent monthly figures cluster in the low-to-mid $400,000s.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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