Recent August 2026 CPI data printed at 3.4% year-over-year with a 0.4% monthly gain, driven by a 3.9% surge in gasoline prices amid elevated energy costs tied to geopolitical tensions. The Cleveland Fed’s nowcast for September stands at 3.43%, while University of Michigan surveys show one-year inflation expectations jumping to 4.6%. These factors underpin trader focus on 3.5% and 3.6% outcomes, which together command nearly 60% implied probability. Core measures remain softer near 2.4%, yet persistent shelter and services pressures, alongside the upcoming September 15–16 FOMC meeting and October 14 CPI release, keep the distribution tightly clustered around current levels with limited room for sharp downside surprises.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3.5% 30%
3.6% 29%
3.4% 19%
3.7% 8%
≤2.9%
4%
3.0%
4%
3.1%
5%
3.2%
4%
3.3%
5%
3.4%
19%
3.5%
30%
3.6%
29%
3.7%
8%
3.8%
6%
3.9%
1%
≥4.0%
4%
3.5% 30%
3.6% 29%
3.4% 19%
3.7% 8%
≤2.9%
4%
3.0%
4%
3.1%
5%
3.2%
4%
3.3%
5%
3.4%
19%
3.5%
30%
3.6%
29%
3.7%
8%
3.8%
6%
3.9%
1%
≥4.0%
4%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 CPI data printed at 3.4% year-over-year with a 0.4% monthly gain, driven by a 3.9% surge in gasoline prices amid elevated energy costs tied to geopolitical tensions. The Cleveland Fed’s nowcast for September stands at 3.43%, while University of Michigan surveys show one-year inflation expectations jumping to 4.6%. These factors underpin trader focus on 3.5% and 3.6% outcomes, which together command nearly 60% implied probability. Core measures remain softer near 2.4%, yet persistent shelter and services pressures, alongside the upcoming September 15–16 FOMC meeting and October 14 CPI release, keep the distribution tightly clustered around current levels with limited room for sharp downside surprises.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न