Brazil's 2026 inflation outlook, tracked via the IPCA, centers on the 5.00-5.49% range as the modal outcome in trader pricing because the central bank's Focus survey and economist consensus currently project annual inflation near 5.0%, reflecting persistent services pressures and a resilient labor market even as headline readings ease. July 2026 IPCA cooled to 4.44% year-over-year from 4.64% in June, aided by softer food and transport components amid retreating global oil prices, yet core measures and expectations remain elevated above the 3% target midpoint. The Copom's August Selic cut to 14.00% signals a cautious easing path conditional on incoming data, with risks tilted toward upside from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties; upcoming monthly IPCA releases and the September Copom meeting will provide key updates that could shift the distribution between the 4.50-4.99% and 5.00-5.49% buckets.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5.00-5.49% 46.4%
4.50-4.99% 25.9%
5.50-5.99% 13.0%
4.00-4.49% 6.5%
$95,578 वॉल्यूम
$95,578 वॉल्यूम
11 जन, 2027
<3.00%
<1%
3.00-3.49%
1%
3.50-3.99%
3%
4.00-4.49%
7%
4.50-4.99%
26%
5.00-5.49%
46%
5.50-5.99%
13%
6.00-6.49%
1%
6.50-6.99%
<1%
7.00%+
3%
5.00-5.49% 46.4%
4.50-4.99% 25.9%
5.50-5.99% 13.0%
4.00-4.49% 6.5%
$95,578 वॉल्यूम
$95,578 वॉल्यूम
11 जन, 2027
<3.00%
$5,727 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.00-3.49%
$5,787 वॉल्यूम
1%
3.50-3.99%
$13,189 वॉल्यूम
3%
4.00-4.49%
$14,048 वॉल्यूम
7%
4.50-4.99%
$15,186 वॉल्यूम
26%
5.00-5.49%
$14,212 वॉल्यूम
46%
5.50-5.99%
$9,462 वॉल्यूम
13%
6.00-6.49%
$6,485 वॉल्यूम
1%
6.50-6.99%
$6,683 वॉल्यूम
<1%
7.00%+
$4,799 वॉल्यूम
3%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil's 2026 inflation outlook, tracked via the IPCA, centers on the 5.00-5.49% range as the modal outcome in trader pricing because the central bank's Focus survey and economist consensus currently project annual inflation near 5.0%, reflecting persistent services pressures and a resilient labor market even as headline readings ease. July 2026 IPCA cooled to 4.44% year-over-year from 4.64% in June, aided by softer food and transport components amid retreating global oil prices, yet core measures and expectations remain elevated above the 3% target midpoint. The Copom's August Selic cut to 14.00% signals a cautious easing path conditional on incoming data, with risks tilted toward upside from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties; upcoming monthly IPCA releases and the September Copom meeting will provide key updates that could shift the distribution between the 4.50-4.99% and 5.00-5.49% buckets.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$95,578समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil's 2026 inflation outlook, tracked via the IPCA, centers on the 5.00-5.49% range as the modal outcome in trader pricing because the central bank's Focus survey and economist consensus currently project annual inflation near 5.0%, reflecting persistent services pressures and a resilient labor market even as headline readings ease. July 2026 IPCA cooled to 4.44% year-over-year from 4.64% in June, aided by softer food and transport components amid retreating global oil prices, yet core measures and expectations remain elevated above the 3% target midpoint. The Copom's August Selic cut to 14.00% signals a cautious easing path conditional on incoming data, with risks tilted toward upside from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties; upcoming monthly IPCA releases and the September Copom meeting will provide key updates that could shift the distribution between the 4.50-4.99% and 5.00-5.49% buckets.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
वॉल्यूम
$95,578समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brazil's 2026 inflation outlook, tracked via the IPCA, centers on the 5.00-5.49% range as the modal outcome in trader pricing because the central bank's Focus survey and economist consensus currently project annual inflation near 5.0%, reflecting persistent services pressures and a resilient labor market even as headline readings ease. July 2026 IPCA cooled to 4.44% year-over-year from 4.64% in June, aided by softer food and transport components amid retreating global oil prices, yet core measures and expectations remain elevated above the 3% target midpoint. The Copom's August Selic cut to 14.00% signals a cautious easing path conditional on incoming data, with risks tilted toward upside from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties; upcoming monthly IPCA releases and the September Copom meeting will provide key updates that could shift the distribution between the 4.50-4.99% and 5.00-5.49% buckets.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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