Recent Middle East conflict-driven energy price spikes have lifted UK CPI to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June, prompting the Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report to project a near-term peak near 3.2% in 2026 Q4 before easing toward target. Trader consensus, reflected in the 27.1% implied probability for the 3.5–3.9% annual outcome, prices in upside risks from direct utility costs and supply-chain pass-through, alongside potential second-round wage and price effects amid a still-elevated services component. Lower-probability buckets below 3% or above 4.5% hinge on the shock’s duration, labor-market slack, and any additional global pressures from tariffs or AI-related input costs. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and the next MPC decision, which will clarify the inflation trajectory through year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.5–3.9% 27.1%
2.0–2.4% 10.7%
4.5%+ 8%
2.5–2.9% 4.1%
$85,284 वॉल्यूम
$85,284 वॉल्यूम
19 जन, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
2%
1.5–1.9%
3%
2.0–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.9%
4%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
27%
4.0-4.4%
2%
4.5%+
8%
3.5–3.9% 27.1%
2.0–2.4% 10.7%
4.5%+ 8%
2.5–2.9% 4.1%
$85,284 वॉल्यूम
$85,284 वॉल्यूम
19 जन, 2027
<1.0%
$943 वॉल्यूम
<1%
1.0–1.4%
$1,260 वॉल्यूम
2%
1.5–1.9%
$2,642 वॉल्यूम
3%
2.0–2.4%
$4,341 वॉल्यूम
11%
2.5–2.9%
$21,796 वॉल्यूम
4%
3.0–3.4%
$0 वॉल्यूम
-
3.5–3.9%
$36,896 वॉल्यूम
27%
4.0-4.4%
$8,442 वॉल्यूम
2%
4.5%+
$8,964 वॉल्यूम
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent Middle East conflict-driven energy price spikes have lifted UK CPI to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June, prompting the Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report to project a near-term peak near 3.2% in 2026 Q4 before easing toward target. Trader consensus, reflected in the 27.1% implied probability for the 3.5–3.9% annual outcome, prices in upside risks from direct utility costs and supply-chain pass-through, alongside potential second-round wage and price effects amid a still-elevated services component. Lower-probability buckets below 3% or above 4.5% hinge on the shock’s duration, labor-market slack, and any additional global pressures from tariffs or AI-related input costs. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and the next MPC decision, which will clarify the inflation trajectory through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$85,284समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent Middle East conflict-driven energy price spikes have lifted UK CPI to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June, prompting the Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report to project a near-term peak near 3.2% in 2026 Q4 before easing toward target. Trader consensus, reflected in the 27.1% implied probability for the 3.5–3.9% annual outcome, prices in upside risks from direct utility costs and supply-chain pass-through, alongside potential second-round wage and price effects amid a still-elevated services component. Lower-probability buckets below 3% or above 4.5% hinge on the shock’s duration, labor-market slack, and any additional global pressures from tariffs or AI-related input costs. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and the next MPC decision, which will clarify the inflation trajectory through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
वॉल्यूम
$85,284समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Middle East conflict-driven energy price spikes have lifted UK CPI to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June, prompting the Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report to project a near-term peak near 3.2% in 2026 Q4 before easing toward target. Trader consensus, reflected in the 27.1% implied probability for the 3.5–3.9% annual outcome, prices in upside risks from direct utility costs and supply-chain pass-through, alongside potential second-round wage and price effects amid a still-elevated services component. Lower-probability buckets below 3% or above 4.5% hinge on the shock’s duration, labor-market slack, and any additional global pressures from tariffs or AI-related input costs. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and the next MPC decision, which will clarify the inflation trajectory through year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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