Recent Middle East energy price shocks have elevated near-term UK CPI inflation expectations for 2026, with the Bank of England’s April Monetary Policy Report projecting rates rising above 3.5% by year-end in baseline scenarios amid higher wholesale costs. April 2026 CPI printed at 2.8%, down from 3.3% the prior month, yet forecasters including the OBR and independents now cluster around 2.3–3.5% for the full-year average as labor-market slack limits second-round wage pressures. This uncertainty underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between the 2.5–2.9% and 4.5%+ buckets, with trader consensus reflecting both the temporary nature of energy base effects and risks of persistent upside from geopolitical developments. Key upcoming catalysts include the next BoE rate decision and July CPI release.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 37.3%
4.0-4.4% 11%
3.5–3.9% 6%
1.0–1.4% 4.5%
नया
नया
20 जन, 2027
<1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
4%
1.5–1.9%
4%
2.0–2.4%
12%
2.5–2.9%
37%
3.5–3.9%
25%
4.0-4.4%
21%
4.5%+
43%
2.5–2.9% 37.3%
4.0-4.4% 11%
3.5–3.9% 6%
1.0–1.4% 4.5%
नया
नया
20 जन, 2027
<1.0%
$806 वॉल्यूम
1%
1.0–1.4%
$330 वॉल्यूम
4%
1.5–1.9%
$485 वॉल्यूम
4%
2.0–2.4%
$305 वॉल्यूम
12%
2.5–2.9%
$428 वॉल्यूम
37%
3.5–3.9%
$525 वॉल्यूम
25%
4.0-4.4%
$420 वॉल्यूम
21%
4.5%+
$1,105 वॉल्यूम
43%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent Middle East energy price shocks have elevated near-term UK CPI inflation expectations for 2026, with the Bank of England’s April Monetary Policy Report projecting rates rising above 3.5% by year-end in baseline scenarios amid higher wholesale costs. April 2026 CPI printed at 2.8%, down from 3.3% the prior month, yet forecasters including the OBR and independents now cluster around 2.3–3.5% for the full-year average as labor-market slack limits second-round wage pressures. This uncertainty underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between the 2.5–2.9% and 4.5%+ buckets, with trader consensus reflecting both the temporary nature of energy base effects and risks of persistent upside from geopolitical developments. Key upcoming catalysts include the next BoE rate decision and July CPI release.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,405समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent Middle East energy price shocks have elevated near-term UK CPI inflation expectations for 2026, with the Bank of England’s April Monetary Policy Report projecting rates rising above 3.5% by year-end in baseline scenarios amid higher wholesale costs. April 2026 CPI printed at 2.8%, down from 3.3% the prior month, yet forecasters including the OBR and independents now cluster around 2.3–3.5% for the full-year average as labor-market slack limits second-round wage pressures. This uncertainty underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between the 2.5–2.9% and 4.5%+ buckets, with trader consensus reflecting both the temporary nature of energy base effects and risks of persistent upside from geopolitical developments. Key upcoming catalysts include the next BoE rate decision and July CPI release.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
वॉल्यूम
$4,405समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Middle East energy price shocks have elevated near-term UK CPI inflation expectations for 2026, with the Bank of England’s April Monetary Policy Report projecting rates rising above 3.5% by year-end in baseline scenarios amid higher wholesale costs. April 2026 CPI printed at 2.8%, down from 3.3% the prior month, yet forecasters including the OBR and independents now cluster around 2.3–3.5% for the full-year average as labor-market slack limits second-round wage pressures. This uncertainty underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between the 2.5–2.9% and 4.5%+ buckets, with trader consensus reflecting both the temporary nature of energy base effects and risks of persistent upside from geopolitical developments. Key upcoming catalysts include the next BoE rate decision and July CPI release.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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