Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6, below consensus of 55.2 and down from July’s 55.6, has shaped trader positioning for the September release by highlighting moderating demand alongside resilient output. New orders eased to 53.7 while backlogs fell to 51.8, yet production held near 58.3 and employment remained in expansion at 51.2; the prices index stayed elevated at 71.1 amid persistent input-cost pressures from tariffs and supply-chain delays. These factors create a narrow range of plausible outcomes centered in the mid-50s, with market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over whether new-order momentum stabilizes or yields to ongoing geopolitical and policy headwinds before the October 1 release.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया55.0 से 55.9 28%
53.0 से 53.9 26%
56.0 से 56.9 24%
54.0 से 54.9 17%
<50.0
3%
50.0 से 50.9
1%
51.0 से 51.9
5%
52.0 से 52.9
15%
53.0 से 53.9
26%
54.0 से 54.9
17%
55.0 से 55.9
28%
56.0 से 56.9
24%
57.0 से 57.9
12%
58.0+
5%
55.0 से 55.9 28%
53.0 से 53.9 26%
56.0 से 56.9 24%
54.0 से 54.9 17%
<50.0
3%
50.0 से 50.9
1%
51.0 से 51.9
5%
52.0 से 52.9
15%
53.0 से 53.9
26%
54.0 से 54.9
17%
55.0 से 55.9
28%
56.0 से 56.9
24%
57.0 से 57.9
12%
58.0+
5%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent August ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 54.6, below consensus of 55.2 and down from July’s 55.6, has shaped trader positioning for the September release by highlighting moderating demand alongside resilient output. New orders eased to 53.7 while backlogs fell to 51.8, yet production held near 58.3 and employment remained in expansion at 51.2; the prices index stayed elevated at 71.1 amid persistent input-cost pressures from tariffs and supply-chain delays. These factors create a narrow range of plausible outcomes centered in the mid-50s, with market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over whether new-order momentum stabilizes or yields to ongoing geopolitical and policy headwinds before the October 1 release.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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