Recent August data showing the unemployment rate steady at 4.1% with 162,000 nonfarm payroll gains has anchored trader expectations for September, as the labor market remains in a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. Structural constraints from slower labor-force growth due to demographics and reduced immigration continue to offset subdued hiring, keeping the rate stable near recent levels rather than pushing it higher. Market-implied odds favor 4.1% as the most likely outcome, with 4.0% and 4.2% as close alternatives, reflecting the narrow range observed in prior months amid steady participation rates and contained layoffs. The BLS September employment report, due October 2, represents the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if job growth or labor-force dynamics deviate from the recent pattern.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4.1% 34%
4.2% 26%
4.0% 16%
4.3% 11%
नया
नया
2 अक्टू, 2026
≤3.8%
5%
3.9%
8%
4.0%
16%
4.1%
34%
4.2%
26%
4.3%
11%
4.4%
5%
4.5%
11%
≥4.6%
4%
4.1% 34%
4.2% 26%
4.0% 16%
4.3% 11%
नया
नया
2 अक्टू, 2026
≤3.8%
$589 वॉल्यूम
5%
3.9%
$105 वॉल्यूम
8%
4.0%
$62 वॉल्यूम
16%
4.1%
$555 वॉल्यूम
34%
4.2%
$84 वॉल्यूम
26%
4.3%
$62 वॉल्यूम
11%
4.4%
$176 वॉल्यूम
5%
4.5%
$505 वॉल्यूम
11%
≥4.6%
$505 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent August data showing the unemployment rate steady at 4.1% with 162,000 nonfarm payroll gains has anchored trader expectations for September, as the labor market remains in a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. Structural constraints from slower labor-force growth due to demographics and reduced immigration continue to offset subdued hiring, keeping the rate stable near recent levels rather than pushing it higher. Market-implied odds favor 4.1% as the most likely outcome, with 4.0% and 4.2% as close alternatives, reflecting the narrow range observed in prior months amid steady participation rates and contained layoffs. The BLS September employment report, due October 2, represents the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if job growth or labor-force dynamics deviate from the recent pattern.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,644समाप्ति तिथि
2 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent August data showing the unemployment rate steady at 4.1% with 162,000 nonfarm payroll gains has anchored trader expectations for September, as the labor market remains in a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. Structural constraints from slower labor-force growth due to demographics and reduced immigration continue to offset subdued hiring, keeping the rate stable near recent levels rather than pushing it higher. Market-implied odds favor 4.1% as the most likely outcome, with 4.0% and 4.2% as close alternatives, reflecting the narrow range observed in prior months amid steady participation rates and contained layoffs. The BLS September employment report, due October 2, represents the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if job growth or labor-force dynamics deviate from the recent pattern.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
वॉल्यूम
$2,644समाप्ति तिथि
2 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent August data showing the unemployment rate steady at 4.1% with 162,000 nonfarm payroll gains has anchored trader expectations for September, as the labor market remains in a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. Structural constraints from slower labor-force growth due to demographics and reduced immigration continue to offset subdued hiring, keeping the rate stable near recent levels rather than pushing it higher. Market-implied odds favor 4.1% as the most likely outcome, with 4.0% and 4.2% as close alternatives, reflecting the narrow range observed in prior months amid steady participation rates and contained layoffs. The BLS September employment report, due October 2, represents the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if job growth or labor-force dynamics deviate from the recent pattern.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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