Recent supply constraints and resilient buyer demand have anchored NYC home values near current levels, with Zillow's ZHVI for New York at $822,517 through August amid 4.2% annual gains, though transaction volumes remain subdued. The closely matched market-implied odds between the $663K–$689K and $636K–$663K brackets reflect uncertainty from the new pied-à-terre tax, which has introduced buyer hesitation in luxury segments without derailing broader price momentum. Elevated mortgage rates continue to weigh on affordability while limited inventory supports valuations, and seasonal patterns into late September could influence the final reading. With resolution just weeks away, any last-minute shifts in sales data or policy clarity represent the main swing factors for trader positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$663K - $689K 47.0%
$636K - $663K 40.8%
$609K - $636K 5.3%
$689K+ 5.1%
$70,820 वॉल्यूम
$70,820 वॉल्यूम
29 सित, 2026
<$555K
7%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
5%
$636K - $663K
41%
$663K - $689K
47%
$689K+
5%
$663K - $689K 47.0%
$636K - $663K 40.8%
$609K - $636K 5.3%
$689K+ 5.1%
$70,820 वॉल्यूम
$70,820 वॉल्यूम
29 सित, 2026
<$555K
$1,270 वॉल्यूम
7%
$555K - $582K
$2,690 वॉल्यूम
3%
$582K - $609K
$1,210 वॉल्यूम
1%
$609K - $636K
$9,353 वॉल्यूम
5%
$636K - $663K
$36,531 वॉल्यूम
41%
$663K - $689K
$11,244 वॉल्यूम
47%
$689K+
$8,521 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent supply constraints and resilient buyer demand have anchored NYC home values near current levels, with Zillow's ZHVI for New York at $822,517 through August amid 4.2% annual gains, though transaction volumes remain subdued. The closely matched market-implied odds between the $663K–$689K and $636K–$663K brackets reflect uncertainty from the new pied-à-terre tax, which has introduced buyer hesitation in luxury segments without derailing broader price momentum. Elevated mortgage rates continue to weigh on affordability while limited inventory supports valuations, and seasonal patterns into late September could influence the final reading. With resolution just weeks away, any last-minute shifts in sales data or policy clarity represent the main swing factors for trader positioning.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$70,820समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent supply constraints and resilient buyer demand have anchored NYC home values near current levels, with Zillow's ZHVI for New York at $822,517 through August amid 4.2% annual gains, though transaction volumes remain subdued. The closely matched market-implied odds between the $663K–$689K and $636K–$663K brackets reflect uncertainty from the new pied-à-terre tax, which has introduced buyer hesitation in luxury segments without derailing broader price momentum. Elevated mortgage rates continue to weigh on affordability while limited inventory supports valuations, and seasonal patterns into late September could influence the final reading. With resolution just weeks away, any last-minute shifts in sales data or policy clarity represent the main swing factors for trader positioning.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
वॉल्यूम
$70,820समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent supply constraints and resilient buyer demand have anchored NYC home values near current levels, with Zillow's ZHVI for New York at $822,517 through August amid 4.2% annual gains, though transaction volumes remain subdued. The closely matched market-implied odds between the $663K–$689K and $636K–$663K brackets reflect uncertainty from the new pied-à-terre tax, which has introduced buyer hesitation in luxury segments without derailing broader price momentum. Elevated mortgage rates continue to weigh on affordability while limited inventory supports valuations, and seasonal patterns into late September could influence the final reading. With resolution just weeks away, any last-minute shifts in sales data or policy clarity represent the main swing factors for trader positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न