Recent preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data at 47.8, below consensus forecasts around 51, anchors the 69% market-implied probability on the 46.0–48.9 range for the September 2026 final reading. Elevated gasoline and diesel prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, alongside renewed trade tensions, drove year-ahead inflation expectations up to 4.6% and weighed on both current conditions and expectations sub-indices. Persistent headline CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.1% have sustained affordability pressures since the Iran-related shock earlier in 2026. The final release later this month and any revisions to the preliminary survey represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift trader positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया46.0 से 48.9 69%
55.0 से 57.9 18%
58.0+ 11%
43.0 से 45.9 8%
नया
नया
25 सित, 2026
<43.0
4%
43.0 से 45.9
8%
46.0 से 48.9
69%
49.0 से 51.9
7%
52.0 से 54.9
7%
55.0 से 57.9
18%
58.0+
11%
46.0 से 48.9 69%
55.0 से 57.9 18%
58.0+ 11%
43.0 से 45.9 8%
नया
नया
25 सित, 2026
<43.0
$264 वॉल्यूम
4%
43.0 से 45.9
$60 वॉल्यूम
8%
46.0 से 48.9
$182 वॉल्यूम
69%
49.0 से 51.9
$45 वॉल्यूम
7%
52.0 से 54.9
$85 वॉल्यूम
7%
55.0 से 57.9
$50 वॉल्यूम
18%
58.0+
$50 वॉल्यूम
11%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data at 47.8, below consensus forecasts around 51, anchors the 69% market-implied probability on the 46.0–48.9 range for the September 2026 final reading. Elevated gasoline and diesel prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, alongside renewed trade tensions, drove year-ahead inflation expectations up to 4.6% and weighed on both current conditions and expectations sub-indices. Persistent headline CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.1% have sustained affordability pressures since the Iran-related shock earlier in 2026. The final release later this month and any revisions to the preliminary survey represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift trader positioning.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$736समाप्ति तिथि
25 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data at 47.8, below consensus forecasts around 51, anchors the 69% market-implied probability on the 46.0–48.9 range for the September 2026 final reading. Elevated gasoline and diesel prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, alongside renewed trade tensions, drove year-ahead inflation expectations up to 4.6% and weighed on both current conditions and expectations sub-indices. Persistent headline CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.1% have sustained affordability pressures since the Iran-related shock earlier in 2026. The final release later this month and any revisions to the preliminary survey represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift trader positioning.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
वॉल्यूम
$736समाप्ति तिथि
25 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data at 47.8, below consensus forecasts around 51, anchors the 69% market-implied probability on the 46.0–48.9 range for the September 2026 final reading. Elevated gasoline and diesel prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, alongside renewed trade tensions, drove year-ahead inflation expectations up to 4.6% and weighed on both current conditions and expectations sub-indices. Persistent headline CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.1% have sustained affordability pressures since the Iran-related shock earlier in 2026. The final release later this month and any revisions to the preliminary survey represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift trader positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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