Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Spain’s AEMET show a consensus maximum temperature of 33–34°C for Madrid on August 4, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental climate. This aligns with current surface observations and short-range model runs indicating light winds and minimal cloud cover, with limited potential for convective cooling. Historical August averages near 32–33°C provide climatological context, while the market’s heavy weighting on 34°C (54%) and 33°C (31.5%) reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions two days ahead of resolution. Minor upside risk to 35°C exists if ridge strength increases slightly, but model agreement keeps higher outcomes below 15% combined. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
4 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
34°C 54%
33°C 32%
35°C 13%
32°C 4%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
29°C या उससे कम
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
32%
34°C
54%
35°C
13%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
34°C 54%
33°C 32%
35°C 13%
32°C 4%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
29°C या उससे कम
$126 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$38 वॉल्यूम
1%
31°C
$24 वॉल्यूम
3%
32°C
$126 वॉल्यूम
4%
33°C
$862 वॉल्यूम
32%
34°C
$424 वॉल्यूम
54%
35°C
$355 वॉल्यूम
13%
36°C
$210 वॉल्यूम
4%
37°C
$142 वॉल्यूम
2%
38°C
$73 वॉल्यूम
1%
39°C या उससे अधिक
$363 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Spain’s AEMET show a consensus maximum temperature of 33–34°C for Madrid on August 4, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental climate. This aligns with current surface observations and short-range model runs indicating light winds and minimal cloud cover, with limited potential for convective cooling. Historical August averages near 32–33°C provide climatological context, while the market’s heavy weighting on 34°C (54%) and 33°C (31.5%) reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions two days ahead of resolution. Minor upside risk to 35°C exists if ridge strength increases slightly, but model agreement keeps higher outcomes below 15% combined. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,742समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Spain’s AEMET show a consensus maximum temperature of 33–34°C for Madrid on August 4, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental climate. This aligns with current surface observations and short-range model runs indicating light winds and minimal cloud cover, with limited potential for convective cooling. Historical August averages near 32–33°C provide climatological context, while the market’s heavy weighting on 34°C (54%) and 33°C (31.5%) reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions two days ahead of resolution. Minor upside risk to 35°C exists if ridge strength increases slightly, but model agreement keeps higher outcomes below 15% combined. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,742समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Spain’s AEMET show a consensus maximum temperature of 33–34°C for Madrid on August 4, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental climate. This aligns with current surface observations and short-range model runs indicating light winds and minimal cloud cover, with limited potential for convective cooling. Historical August averages near 32–33°C provide climatological context, while the market’s heavy weighting on 34°C (54%) and 33°C (31.5%) reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions two days ahead of resolution. Minor upside risk to 35°C exists if ridge strength increases slightly, but model agreement keeps higher outcomes below 15% combined. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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