Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicates the highest temperature in Paris on August 3 will most likely fall between 34–36 °C, reflecting a warm air mass that has persisted since late July heat-wave conditions. High-pressure subsidence and southerly flow have supported daytime maxima near or above seasonal norms, though model runs show modest cooling potential if Atlantic moisture arrives earlier than expected. Ensemble spread remains narrow for this short lead time, concentrating trader probability on the 35 °C outcome at 37.5 % while assigning lower weight to outliers above 37 °C or below 34 °C. Updated model cycles and official briefings through August 2 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
35°C 38%
36°C 26%
34°C 20%
37°C 11%
32°C or below
5%
33°C
8%
34°C
20%
35°C
38%
36°C
26%
37°C
11%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
36°C 26%
34°C 20%
37°C 11%
32°C or below
5%
33°C
8%
34°C
20%
35°C
38%
36°C
26%
37°C
11%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicates the highest temperature in Paris on August 3 will most likely fall between 34–36 °C, reflecting a warm air mass that has persisted since late July heat-wave conditions. High-pressure subsidence and southerly flow have supported daytime maxima near or above seasonal norms, though model runs show modest cooling potential if Atlantic moisture arrives earlier than expected. Ensemble spread remains narrow for this short lead time, concentrating trader probability on the 35 °C outcome at 37.5 % while assigning lower weight to outliers above 37 °C or below 34 °C. Updated model cycles and official briefings through August 2 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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