Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 28°C in London on August 15 under sunny intervals and high pressure, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C. Short-range ensemble models show modest spread due to variable Atlantic flow and potential afternoon cloud build-up that could cap peaks 1–2°C below guidance. Historical August baselines near 22–24°C, combined with this summer’s above-average warmth, reinforce expectations for readings in the mid-to-upper 20s, while the 0.4% odds on 30°C+ reflect low confidence in further intensification before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C 34%
27°C 31%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
15%
26°C
34%
27°C
31%
28°C
13%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 34%
27°C 31%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
20°C or below
$710 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$489 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$258 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$90 वॉल्यूम
1%
24°C
$540 वॉल्यूम
6%
25°C
$861 वॉल्यूम
15%
26°C
$836 वॉल्यूम
34%
27°C
$1,083 वॉल्यूम
31%
28°C
$467 वॉल्यूम
13%
29°C
$626 वॉल्यूम
4%
30°C or higher
$353 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 28°C in London on August 15 under sunny intervals and high pressure, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C. Short-range ensemble models show modest spread due to variable Atlantic flow and potential afternoon cloud build-up that could cap peaks 1–2°C below guidance. Historical August baselines near 22–24°C, combined with this summer’s above-average warmth, reinforce expectations for readings in the mid-to-upper 20s, while the 0.4% odds on 30°C+ reflect low confidence in further intensification before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,313समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 28°C in London on August 15 under sunny intervals and high pressure, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C. Short-range ensemble models show modest spread due to variable Atlantic flow and potential afternoon cloud build-up that could cap peaks 1–2°C below guidance. Historical August baselines near 22–24°C, combined with this summer’s above-average warmth, reinforce expectations for readings in the mid-to-upper 20s, while the 0.4% odds on 30°C+ reflect low confidence in further intensification before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$6,313समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 28°C in London on August 15 under sunny intervals and high pressure, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C. Short-range ensemble models show modest spread due to variable Atlantic flow and potential afternoon cloud build-up that could cap peaks 1–2°C below guidance. Historical August baselines near 22–24°C, combined with this summer’s above-average warmth, reinforce expectations for readings in the mid-to-upper 20s, while the 0.4% odds on 30°C+ reflect low confidence in further intensification before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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