Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the ECMWF and Met Office show Istanbul’s August 15 maximum stabilizing near 26 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow that promotes mixing and curbs afternoon heating across the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce minor spread, keeping the 25–27 °C window dominant while limiting upside potential for 28 °C or higher. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, producing the observed concentration of probability around 26 °C and the rapid decay in tails below 24 °C or above 28 °C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C 58%
25°C 25%
27°C 12%
24°C 6%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
25%
26°C
58%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 58%
25°C 25%
27°C 12%
24°C 6%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
25%
26°C
58%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the ECMWF and Met Office show Istanbul’s August 15 maximum stabilizing near 26 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow that promotes mixing and curbs afternoon heating across the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce minor spread, keeping the 25–27 °C window dominant while limiting upside potential for 28 °C or higher. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, producing the observed concentration of probability around 26 °C and the rapid decay in tails below 24 °C or above 28 °C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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