Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a daily maximum near 32–33°C on August 15, shaped by the region's subtropical monsoon regime where scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover are expected to reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. High boundary-layer humidity above 75% and frequent convective cells typical of August limit extreme peaks, keeping outcomes above 35°C or below 30°C at low implied probabilities. Model guidance shows broad agreement on weak steering flow and no strong high-pressure ridge to promote clear-sky heating, though small shifts in timing or coverage of showers could tip the highest reading by 1°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को शेन्ज़ेन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 27%
33°C 24%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
14%
32°C
27%
33°C
24%
34°C
16%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 27%
33°C 24%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
14%
32°C
27%
33°C
24%
34°C
16%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a daily maximum near 32–33°C on August 15, shaped by the region's subtropical monsoon regime where scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover are expected to reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. High boundary-layer humidity above 75% and frequent convective cells typical of August limit extreme peaks, keeping outcomes above 35°C or below 30°C at low implied probabilities. Model guidance shows broad agreement on weak steering flow and no strong high-pressure ridge to promote clear-sky heating, though small shifts in timing or coverage of showers could tip the highest reading by 1°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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