Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate points to a sunny, high-pressure setup over the Netherlands on August 13, supporting peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius range. Light easterly winds and clear skies favor strong daytime heating, though slight differences in subsidence strength and urban heat retention create the tight spread between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Historical August maxima near 25–28°C provide context for the anomalous warmth, while model divergence on exact peak timing and any late-day boundary-layer mixing explains why trader-implied probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single threshold. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 अगस्त को एम्स्टर्डम में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
13 अगस्त को एम्स्टर्डम में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
32°C 28%
33°C 26%
34°C 15%
31°C 13%
नया
नया
13 अग, 2026
27°C या उससे कम
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
28%
33°C
26%
34°C
15%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C या उससे अधिक
1%
32°C 28%
33°C 26%
34°C 15%
31°C 13%
नया
नया
13 अग, 2026
27°C या उससे कम
$10 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$57 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C
$29 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$163 वॉल्यूम
4%
31°C
$158 वॉल्यूम
13%
32°C
$85 वॉल्यूम
28%
33°C
$278 वॉल्यूम
26%
34°C
$24 वॉल्यूम
15%
35°C
$100 वॉल्यूम
6%
36°C
$39 वॉल्यूम
2%
37°C या उससे अधिक
$29 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate points to a sunny, high-pressure setup over the Netherlands on August 13, supporting peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius range. Light easterly winds and clear skies favor strong daytime heating, though slight differences in subsidence strength and urban heat retention create the tight spread between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Historical August maxima near 25–28°C provide context for the anomalous warmth, while model divergence on exact peak timing and any late-day boundary-layer mixing explains why trader-implied probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single threshold. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$974समाप्ति तिथि
13 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate points to a sunny, high-pressure setup over the Netherlands on August 13, supporting peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius range. Light easterly winds and clear skies favor strong daytime heating, though slight differences in subsidence strength and urban heat retention create the tight spread between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Historical August maxima near 25–28°C provide context for the anomalous warmth, while model divergence on exact peak timing and any late-day boundary-layer mixing explains why trader-implied probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single threshold. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$974समाप्ति तिथि
13 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate points to a sunny, high-pressure setup over the Netherlands on August 13, supporting peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius range. Light easterly winds and clear skies favor strong daytime heating, though slight differences in subsidence strength and urban heat retention create the tight spread between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Historical August maxima near 25–28°C provide context for the anomalous warmth, while model divergence on exact peak timing and any late-day boundary-layer mixing explains why trader-implied probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single threshold. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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